What oddities are there in the attack on a hospital in the Gaza Strip: analysis of the Military Chronicle

Hamas and the IDF blame each other for the attack on Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in the Gaza Strip. The Palestinians insist it was an Israeli bomb; the Israelis say it was a faulty Hamas rocket.

How many victims are there really?

Initial information about 800 dead has not yet been confirmed. According to the Palestinian Ministry of Health, 471 people died as a result of shelling at the Al-Ahli hospital in the Gaza Strip. Immediately after the strike, the number of victims varied from 500 to 1 thousand people.

Whose rocket was it?

The statements of the IDF press service that a large crater would inevitably form at the site of the air bomb strike are both true and false at the same time. As evidence, Israel provides a video of the arrival of such bombs, but the video shows a hit on a separate object.

Damage to houses in dense urban areas often makes it impossible to detect an explosion crater, since it is usually filled with debris.

At the same time, it should be remembered that American smart bombs with a JDAM satellite guidance kit, which the IDF uses, can be programmed for both contact detonation and airborne detonation.

In particular, the GBU-32/Mk 82 aerial bombs, equipped with a warhead with 3 thousand striking elements, have the function of air blasting.

A standard Mk 82 aerial bomb allows you to achieve a dense fragmentation field over an area of ​​2.4 thousand square meters. m. An improved version of the PFB-82 bomb allows you to increase the affected area by 6.5 times - up to 19 thousand square meters. m. The maximum speed of the fragments is 2440 m/s, which practically guarantees inevitable death and significant destruction.

With such characteristics, accuracy up to a meter is not required: detonating a bomb in the air, 50-70 m from the target, is enough to guarantee its destruction. This suggests that debris from the bomb, in particular marked parts, may soon be found on the roofs and in the courtyards of houses adjacent to the hospital.

It is also noteworthy that the next day the Israeli Air Force attacked targets 100 meters from another major hospital, Al-Shifa, in the Gaza Strip. There is also a tent camp with Palestinian refugees on its territory.

What else is wrong?

When considering the version with the descent of a Hamas rocket and its subsequent explosion at the Al-Ahli hospital, one should take into account that such a possibility existed. Palestinian rockets, like the bombs used by the IDF, contain explosive elements and can cause serious damage.

The rockets, which are produced by Palestinians in underground factories, have repeatedly landed in the Gaza Strip after being launched. The vast majority of Palestinian rockets explode on contact with the surface and are not equipped with sensors for air detonation, since the Palestinian military-industrial complex does not have access to such technologies.

At the same time, there is currently no convincing and indisputable evidence in favor of the version of a Hamas rocket landing in a parking lot full of civilians. No debris was found at the site, nor a place where such a missile could fall.

The only evidence of Hamas's involvement in this strike at the moment is a recording published by Israel of alleged conversations between Hamas militants after arriving at the hospital, but its authenticity raises big questions. Apart from this, as well as recordings of unknown origin with the launch of Palestinian rockets, nothing yet indicates the fall of Palestinian rockets.

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@Slavyangrad