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Day 22

— 🇮🇱/🇵🇸/🇱🇧 22nd day of the war, October 28th, status update and major events:

— Due to a total blackout in Gaza, we basically know nothing. However, it is clear that today's airstrikes on the Gaza strip were extremely intense and unprecedented. Humanitarian situation is still terrible.

– IDF Spokesman Hagari repeated that Northern Gaza residents should immediately relocate South while they still can, and warned that 'intense hostilies' are to come.

– Sporadic rocket attacks from Gaza into central and Southern Israel, but nothing major. Most Israeli settlements near Gaza have been completely evacuated at this point, so casualties are unlikely.

– Since last night, Israeli tanks and mechanized infantry units have managed to advance about 100-200 meters into North and North-Eastern Gaza on the outskirts of Beit Lahia and Beit Hanoun. All reliable reports indicate that resistance is harsh, with Al-Qassam claiming that one of their fighters has single-handedly destroyed three IDF vehicles.

– Hezbollah targeted the IDF sites in Risha, Al-Jardah, Al-Abad, Al-Marj, Abu Dajjaj and Zarit with ATGMs, striking IDF troops and destroying enemy observation & surveillance equipment.

– As usual, the IDF shelled South Lebanon with artillery, and the IAF carried out targeted drone strikes against Hezbollah infrastructure.

– Netanyahu gave a speech, saying that this war is Israel's second war of independence. He also said that the 'second stage of the war' has now begun, which is focused on destroying Hamas' military capabilities.

– No actions involving Yemen or Iraq were recorded today. There were some reports that the Al-Omar oil field in Syria had come under attack, but no group has claimed responsibility so far.

@Middle_East_Spectator

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Serious allegations from former CIA officer Larry Johnson about Senator Lindsey Graham: “There will be news coming out in the next couple of months about how he has profited financially off of money that came out of Ukraine, laundered through Latvia and made it way into his bank account. And now we're talking significant amounts of money. Department of justice is looking at it.”

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OIL SHOCK

🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz

@CIG_Telegram

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Analysis

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.

Main points:

Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.

Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.

Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.

Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.

Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.

Missiles & drones:

2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.

2 rockets were ...

Oil Prices

OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.

THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.

ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...

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