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Day 23

— 🇮🇱/🇵🇸/🇱🇧/🇸🇾 23rd day of the war, October 29th, status update and major events:

— Due to a total blackout in Gaza, we basically know nothing about the situation inside the strip, but artillery fire and airstrikes continue, and the humanitarian situation is worse than ever.

– Sporadic small-scale rocket attacks from the Gaza strip into Israeli settlements.

– Large amounts of Israeli tanks and mechanized infantry units are inside northern Gaza since last friday, having fully secured the area of As-Siafa near the sea, which constitutes an incursion of about 1.5km deep at the furthest point. No additional progress was made during the course of today, despite continuous clashes.

– On the Beit Lahia and Beit Hanoun outskirts, the IDF has not made any further advancements since yesterday either, having so far secured an incursion of about 300 meters into the strip.

– Small scale rocket attacks took place on settlements in the Galilee, with a confirmed impact in Kiryat Shmona, causing a fire. The attacks were claimed by the Sunni-Islamist movement 'Jamaa Islamiyya' in Lebanon, specifically its armed wing, the Al-Fajr forces.

– Hezbollah targeted IDF troops, equipment and vehicles in the settlements of Misgav, Al-Samaqah, Al-Malikiyah, Birkat Risha and Ramia with ATGMs and other weaponry, inflicting casualties and materiel losses. They announced one martyr, making the total amount now 48.

– Hezbollah downed an Israeli UAV over Sharq Al-Khiam with a surface-to-air missile.

– As a response to these attacks, the IDF shelled South Lebanon with artillery and carried out targeted drone strikes against Hezbollah positions.

– Hezbollah announced that its leader, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, will give an important speech on the 3rd of November.

– American F-16 fighter jets targeted positions of IRGC-affiliated Iranian proxies in the Syrian border town of Al-Bukamal according to local sources, but the U.S. has not confirmed this event, nor have we received visual confirmation.

– The Islamic Resistance in Iraq carried out an attack on the Al-Shaddadi base in Syria. The Al-Omar oil field also came under attack, but no group has claimed responsibility.

– Israeli jets bombed the headquarters of Syria's 112th mechanized brigade in the city of Nawa, according to SANA. Others claim that several warehouses and infrastructure of Iranian proxies were the target of the strike, and not the SAA.

@Middle_East_Spectator

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OIL SHOCK

🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz

@CIG_Telegram

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Analysis

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.

Main points:

Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.

Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.

Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.

Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.

Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.

Missiles & drones:

2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.

2 rockets were ...

Oil Prices

OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.

THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.

ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...

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