We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
Oil and Water
Rabobank Global Strategist Michael Every began a Tuesday note aptly named "Oil and Water" by acknowledging the value of "oil and water (routes)" in an inflationary, multipolar world: "Especially as Yemen’s Houthis have attacked ships carrying cargo via the Red Sea or Arabian Gulf. Welcome to how the world used to work before British, then US, naval supremacy. This is what a multipolar world is going to look like..."
Michael Every laments that it’s only reactive to attacks on shipping, not proactive at the source: "That maintains the risk for more shipping to divert from Suez round the Cape of Good Hope: if so, global carriers would only be able to make 3-4 Asia-Europe roundtrips per year, not 4-5, a massive structural drop in supply capacity. The Financial Times warns , including the drought in Panama cutting passages there and geopolitical risk threatening the Suez."
The Rabobank report appropriately followed an article out of the FT titled ‘Global pre-Christmas trade at risk from twin canal crises’, which warned of a synergistic supply shock from both the Panama drought and, of course, ongoing geopolitical risks near the Suez.
The FT notes that "Switching routes from Panama to Suez adds five days to journeys between New York and Shanghai... If more shipowners avoid the Suez Canal and take the long route around Africa’s Cape of Good Hope for journeys between the same cities, this could add an additional six days to their journey."
At least 167 ships crossed the canal during the first week of December this year, compared with 238 last year. Authorities have for the first time reduced the number of crossings, which by February will be limited to only 18 ships a day.
Multiple shipowners have already applied surcharges of hundreds of dollars per container for exporters sending goods through Panama, as the cost of using the canal increased by up to millions of dollars per ship passage. Hapag-Lloyd announced an upcoming “war risk surcharge” of up to $80 for all shipments to and from Israel.
IN 2006, RESEARCHER CLEVE BACKSTER — THE MAN WHO INVENTED THE CIA'S LIE DETECTOR PROTOCOLS — PUBLISHED 36 YEARS OF EXPERIMENTS PROVING THAT PLANTS, BACTERIA, AND HUMAN CELLS IN PETRI DISHES RESPOND INSTANTANEOUSLY TO HUMAN THOUGHT AND EMOTION — EVEN AT DISTANCES OF HUNDREDS OF MILES. THE SIGNAL IS FASTER THAN LIGHT. IT DOES NOT DIMINISH WITH DISTANCE. IT IS NOT ELECTROMAGNETIC.
In 1966, Cleve Backster was the world's foremost expert on polygraph technology. He had developed the interrogation techniques used by the CIA, FBI, and U.S. military. He understood galvanic skin response — the electrical conductance of biological tissue — better than anyone alive.
One morning, on a whim, he attached polygraph electrodes to a Dracaena plant in his office. He watered it and watched the tracing. Then he thought: "I wonder what would happen if I threatened this plant." He decided to burn a leaf with a match.
The instant he formed the intention — before he moved, before he lit the match, before any ...
Kennedy Starts a Push to Help Americans Quit Antidepressants
Federal health agencies announced a new national effort to reduce psychiatric overprescribing, informed consent, and expanding access to nondrug mental health approaches like psychotherapy, nutrition, and physical activity. https://bit.ly/4vqyFJB
