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— 🇮🇷/🏴 READ: ISIS claimed responsibility for the Kerman bombings, but many things about the attack do not check out

There are some very suspicious signs that not ISIS, but rather a different entity wrote today's statement. They are the following:

1. ISIS used the word 'Iran' in its official statement, which is highly unusual. ISIS always uses Islamic rhetoric, as they do not believe in the concept of nation states. In past attacks on Iran, they called it 'Fars Province' or 'Khorasan Province' as part of the Islamic Caliphate, but never 'Iran'.

2. ISIS published the photos of the two alleged suicide bombers with their faces blurred. This is highly unusual; previous suicide bombers never had their faces blurred. Additionally, there is no practical reason for the images to be blurred, which is usually done to avoid identification leading to their arrest. This is not an active risk, because the suicide bombers are already dead and their bodies in pieces.

3. ISIS took responsibility approximately 30 hours after the bombings. This is unusual, as the terrorist group usually issues a statement on the same day of the attack, most of the times even immediately after.

@Middle_East_Spectator

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OIL SHOCK

🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz

@CIG_Telegram

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Analysis

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.

Main points:

Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.

Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.

Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.

Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.

Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.

Missiles & drones:

2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.

2 rockets were ...

Oil Prices

OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.

THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.

ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...

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