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Global Currency Shifts: The Dollar's New Direction
Recently, the US dollar gained against the Euro and the British Pound, influenced by market speculation about interest rate differences between the US Federal Reserve and European central banks. Despite these increases, the dollar remained stable overall, following new US economic data that prompted reassessment of the Fed's potential easing of monetary policy.
In New York's latest trading session, currency values shifted significantly. The dollar fell to 144.91 yen, and the Euro and Pound also declined to $1.0954 and $1.2747, respectively. The DXY index, which tracks the dollar against other currencies, rose slightly by 0.11% to 102.404 points, registering a small weekly gain of 0.01%.
This consolidation in the dollar’s value came as investors weighed US macroeconomic data for hints of the Fed's future moves. Recent US Producer Price Index (PPI) data, lower than market expectations, slightly eased concerns raised by earlier Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Pantheon, a consultancy firm, suggested that the forthcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report could be crucial. It may prompt the Fed to begin monetary easing sooner, with possible interest rate cuts as early as March. Currently, the market, as per CME Group's tracking tool, anticipates a 79.5% chance of this happening.
Olivier Korber, a strategist at Société Generale Research, views this market expectation as premature. He argues that core inflation may not decline fast enough by March to justify an interest rate cut. The absence of this option in the Fed's minutes supports his view. Korber predicts that this situation might weaken the Euro in the short term, considering the interest rate differential.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ), as reported by sources to Reuters, is expected to maintain its 2% inflation projection for the coming years, despite economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks.
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🛢📈 — Reuters reports that oil is approaching $100 per barrel following the latest exchange of attacks between Americans and Iranians on oil tankers.
▶️The price of Brent crude has risen to $97.07 per barrel, while American WTI crude has risen to $92.28. In the past week, Brent has risen by 7.8%, while WTI has risen by nearly 10%.
▶️On Saturday, U.S. forces attacked three Iranian oil tankers, one of which was stationed near the island of Kharg, a key center for Iranian oil exports. In response, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced attacks on three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and three more U.S. ships.
▶️In this context, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has sharply declined. Over the past 10 days, an average of only 10 cargo ships have transited the strait per day – the lowest level since May.
The WHO now states on its website:
Vaccination against COVID-19 can trigger multiple sclerosis through cross-reactive CD4+-T cells that recognize the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 and myelin peptides.
In other words: Your own immune system destroys the nerve pathways and then attacks your brain and spinal cord.
