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Global Currency Shifts: The Dollar's New Direction
Recently, the US dollar gained against the Euro and the British Pound, influenced by market speculation about interest rate differences between the US Federal Reserve and European central banks. Despite these increases, the dollar remained stable overall, following new US economic data that prompted reassessment of the Fed's potential easing of monetary policy.
In New York's latest trading session, currency values shifted significantly. The dollar fell to 144.91 yen, and the Euro and Pound also declined to $1.0954 and $1.2747, respectively. The DXY index, which tracks the dollar against other currencies, rose slightly by 0.11% to 102.404 points, registering a small weekly gain of 0.01%.
This consolidation in the dollar’s value came as investors weighed US macroeconomic data for hints of the Fed's future moves. Recent US Producer Price Index (PPI) data, lower than market expectations, slightly eased concerns raised by earlier Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Pantheon, a consultancy firm, suggested that the forthcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report could be crucial. It may prompt the Fed to begin monetary easing sooner, with possible interest rate cuts as early as March. Currently, the market, as per CME Group's tracking tool, anticipates a 79.5% chance of this happening.
Olivier Korber, a strategist at Société Generale Research, views this market expectation as premature. He argues that core inflation may not decline fast enough by March to justify an interest rate cut. The absence of this option in the Fed's minutes supports his view. Korber predicts that this situation might weaken the Euro in the short term, considering the interest rate differential.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ), as reported by sources to Reuters, is expected to maintain its 2% inflation projection for the coming years, despite economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks.
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Humanitarian lawyer and ex-aid worker Andrew MacLeod exposes the involvement of UN security staff in the sex trafficking of young girls, who were kept in cages and abused as sex slaves, with the full knowledge of the UN's leadership.
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Dr. David Martin: "Remdesivir was too unethical to put into Ebola clinical trials in Africa because it had a 53% kill rate."
"But it was chosen in April and May of 2020 to be the drug of choice to treat Covid... despite the fact that the World Health Organisation said it was unethical to use it."
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Serious allegations from former CIA officer Larry Johnson about Senator Lindsey Graham: “There will be news coming out in the next couple of months about how he has profited financially off of money that came out of Ukraine, laundered through Latvia and made it way into his bank account. And now we're talking significant amounts of money. Department of justice is looking at it.”
🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz
@CIG_Telegram
Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.
Main points:
Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.
Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.
Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.
Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.
Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.
Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.
Missiles & drones:
2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.
2 rockets were ...
OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS
📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.
THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.
ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...
