⚡️🇪🇬🇵🇸 Since Day 1, Egypt has warned Israel to not violate a certain red line in Gaza, that is, the Philadelphi Axis in the Gaza Strip, which was abandoned by Israel in the 2000s and consists of 14km stretching from the Egyptian border into Gaza proper, it is the land connection between Egypt and Gaza, and for over 4 months, Israel has never sent nor violated the red line put forth by the Arab Republic of Egypt.
However, war-mongering statements, the 7th of which was recorded two days ago by the Minister of Defense, Yoav Gallant, are still being published.
The fact that Israel has never sent ground troops to Rafah over the past four months means that Israel knows that Egypt is serious about such a redline, as government officials stated that there will be "severe consequences" and "a major break in our relationships" if the Axis has been occupied by Israel.
So what are possible Egyptian responses if Israel occupies the 14km stretch of land?
There are possible diplomatic, economic, and military actions that can be implemented by the Egyptian side in response to such behavior.
1) Economically speaking, Egypt can declare the EU-Egypt-Israel gas deal as void, over 60% of Israeli Natural Gas comes through Egypt (as a transportation node), as was testified by testimonies of the Ministry of Employees during the military courts of 2012, important deals were reached between the EU, Egypt, and Israel regarding natural gas liquefication and transportation.
According to the Times of Israel, Egypt has already tested that method in January, as the Arab Republic of Egypt has refused to send the final payment it owes Israel for gas never transferred, of 8 million US dollars of value.
Egypt can also declare Israeli vessels as non-grata for the Suez Canal, cutting off any and all transportation to and from Israel, and refusing to allow Israeli tourists into the Sinai for religious or recreational purposes.
2) Diplomatically speaking, Egypt can declare the Camp David Accords as void, which, effectively, it already is due to the heavy militarization of Sinai through the past 6 years, but making it official, the consequences of which are only felt on the ground and defacto, however, formalizing the deaths of the Accords would mean the withdraw of recognition of the state of Israel and returning to an era of "No war, No Peace" on the diplomatic level, we can also declare the 2005 AMA agreement void (with help from the PLO)
3) Militarily speaking, Zone C and D will be heavily militarized, Egypt could also militarily occupy Rafah and some parts of Gaza to avoid the threat of Israel occupying the Gaza border, how it goes from here, I do not know.
@themediterraneanman
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Source
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🇮🇷🏆🇺🇸 Iran Is a Bigger Defeat Than Vietnam | Foreign Policy
At his second inaugural, U.S. President Donald Trump pronounced his hope “that our recent presidential election will be remembered as the greatest and most consequential election in the history of our country.” By losing his Gulf war, Trump has achieved that goal. His choice to launch a campaign against Iran was encouraged by others, but fully his own. It has led to a reversal that marks a strategic calamity far greater than the U.S. defeat in the Vietnam War.
Defeat in the Iranian war looks, on the surface, nothing like other U.S. military defeats. The speed of the war and its remoteness have lent an air of unreality to the whole endeavor. The White House has not been burned, as it was in 1814; there have not been protests against a nonexistent draft. The absence of substantial U.S. casualties in this conflict also masks the scale of the U.S. defeat. To be sure, the war has been deadly: Thousands of Iranians, ...
According to The Wall Street Journal, Donald Trump reviewed military options for a full-scale war against Iran to “finish the job,” but has decided, for now, not to move forward.
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How are those negotiations going?
Not well. It seems JD Vance’s “historic” face-to-face achievement was a one-off. Washington has been quietly downgraded from talking to the Great Satan to negotiating with the Little Satan instead - a senior Qatari official confirmed that U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Qatari officials in Doha, but there are currently no high-level U.S.-Iran meetings ...