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February 04, 2024
Israel V Egypt

⚡️🇪🇬🇵🇸 Since Day 1, Egypt has warned Israel to not violate a certain red line in Gaza, that is, the Philadelphi Axis in the Gaza Strip, which was abandoned by Israel in the 2000s and consists of 14km stretching from the Egyptian border into Gaza proper, it is the land connection between Egypt and Gaza, and for over 4 months, Israel has never sent nor violated the red line put forth by the Arab Republic of Egypt.

However, war-mongering statements, the 7th of which was recorded two days ago by the Minister of Defense, Yoav Gallant, are still being published.

The fact that Israel has never sent ground troops to Rafah over the past four months means that Israel knows that Egypt is serious about such a redline, as government officials stated that there will be "severe consequences" and "a major break in our relationships" if the Axis has been occupied by Israel.

So what are possible Egyptian responses if Israel occupies the 14km stretch of land?

There are possible diplomatic, economic, and military actions that can be implemented by the Egyptian side in response to such behavior.

1) Economically speaking, Egypt can declare the EU-Egypt-Israel gas deal as void, over 60% of Israeli Natural Gas comes through Egypt (as a transportation node), as was testified by testimonies of the Ministry of Employees during the military courts of 2012, important deals were reached between the EU, Egypt, and Israel regarding natural gas liquefication and transportation.

According to the Times of Israel, Egypt has already tested that method in January, as the Arab Republic of Egypt has refused to send the final payment it owes Israel for gas never transferred, of 8 million US dollars of value.

Egypt can also declare Israeli vessels as non-grata for the Suez Canal, cutting off any and all transportation to and from Israel, and refusing to allow Israeli tourists into the Sinai for religious or recreational purposes.

2) Diplomatically speaking, Egypt can declare the Camp David Accords as void, which, effectively, it already is due to the heavy militarization of Sinai through the past 6 years, but making it official, the consequences of which are only felt on the ground and defacto, however, formalizing the deaths of the Accords would mean the withdraw of recognition of the state of Israel and returning to an era of "No war, No Peace" on the diplomatic level, we can also declare the 2005 AMA agreement void (with help from the PLO)

3) Militarily speaking, Zone C and D will be heavily militarized, Egypt could also militarily occupy Rafah and some parts of Gaza to avoid the threat of Israel occupying the Gaza border, how it goes from here, I do not know.

@themediterraneanman

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — Ground clashes are occuring between IRGC soldiers and American CSAR troops. American soldiers are inside Iran.

@GeoPWatch

Rumint

⚡🇺🇸 Rumors have emerged that President Trump is in the hospital as all roads leading to Walter Reed Medical Center have been cordoned off and a "lid" has been called today by the White House, meaning Trump won't appear in public.

The White House has denied the rumors and it is Saturday, but those are the rumors.

@medmannews

Full Report Tonight

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 - WAR IN IRAN | APRIL 3rd, DAY 35 RECAP:

🇮🇷🇰🇼 - Iran has struck the Mina Al-Ahmadi refinery in Kuwait. Multiple fires have been reported.

🇱🇧🇮🇱 - “The disarmament of Hezbollah is not one of the objectives of the IDF’s fighting in Lebanon at this stage,” the IDF said.

🇮🇷🇰🇼 - Iran has struck a Kuwaiti power and desalination plant, causing damage, according to the Kuwait Ministry of Electricity.

🇮🇷🇦🇪 - Habshan gas facilities in Abu Dhabi have temporarily suspended operations after a fire broke out due to an Iranian attack.

🇫🇷🇮🇷 - A French-owned cargo ship crossed the Strait of Hormuz earlier this morning. It was broadcasting its position and planned route openly and encountered no incident.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - A U.S. F-15 fighter jet was shot down over southwestern Iran. One pilot has been rescued, while the second is still missing, according to the Pentagon.

🇮🇷🇶🇦🇵🇰 - “In a dramatic turn of ...

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