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February 18, 2024
Ain’t So Easy

🇮🇱❌🇵🇸 A quick Israel-Gaza War thread on why dismantling Hamas as a military organization is quite hard, if not impossible:

This is an overly simplified illustration of the force structure of a Hamas battalion derived from reports as well as videos/imagery produced by the IDF, Hamas and others. Each green dot is a individual fighter, the blue boxes denote "tangible combat assets/kit", hypothetically located in fixed locations. Yellow rings around green circles denote individuals in leadership roles (who are presumably institutionally promotable).

Caveat emptor, the only organizations that actually have access to Hamas' Tables of Organization and Equipment (TOEs) are Hamas and the IRGC (maybe). The IDF and US IC can see fragments of it, but not the whole picture, so this thread is speaking purely in broad brushstrokes.

First and foremost, unlike in most highly bureaucratized militaries, Hamas (and it appears most of Gaza's other militant orgs) devolve a massively outsized share of both their organizational logistical responsibilities and their combat power down to the "cell" level.

Think of their cells as being akin to Western-style fireteams with a handful of guys (a quick aside, Hamas 'does' have a formal rank/structure hierarchy - i.e. cells → to squads → to platoons → companies → brigades). There are multiple cells in a squad (so the above graphic really should have 2 or 3 of the blue blocks per squad).

Every cell is supposed to maintain/have a semi-standardized allotment of kit. The most shoddily equipped units have a mixture of RPGs and AKs, but some (well... most apparently) cells have better/more niche equipment, e.g. EFPs and ballistic protection. There are also specialized anti-tank and sniper teams, but I haven't seen any footage of their caches being pinched. (...)

Hamas' military is fundamentally a devolved hierarchy with a bottom-heavy logistical structure. That is to say, their units are specifically designed to operate in a semi-autonomous fashion, as opposed to functioning in larger cohesive units. (...)

With organizations like Hamas, because they're not necessarily functioning as discrete units like most Westerners are accustomed to, neutralizing their battalion echelon and above leaders or blowing up their larger supply hubs, does not in and of itself render their units incapable of fighting or "destroy them."

That's why, reports of the "destruction" of Hamas battalions/brigades are usually dramatically overstated.

📎 Analytica Camillus

🧵 https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1759114538903834880.html

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December 25, 2025
A Christmas Message from PrepperNow!
00:10:29
Flock off

Police in Winona Minnesota are stunned after every single one of their Flock cameras were suddenly removed in a single night.

According to the police department, all 8 of the town's cameras were cut down and hauled away.

Police are asking for the public's help to identify the individual, but the public has been responding with comments such as:

"The Flock cameras tore themselves down"
"Whoever did it, was fishing with me"
"Whoever it was, was at Bible study with me"

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00:00:28
20k people

Nearly 20,000 people are publicly vouching for a man accused of cutting down Flock cameras in a small West Virginia town.

People commented:

  • "He was saving my neighbor's dog from a fire all day, couldn't be him."

  • "This man is innocent. I saw him serving at a soup kitchen."

-"Couldn't be him. He was helping me replace the roof on a homeless shelter."

The man, Wesley Jackson, has pleaded Not Guilty.

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00:00:29
Doooom

US diesel crack surpasses $100 a barrel for the first time on supply disruptions

... and the supply of refined fuels is already nearly exhausted. A hard landing is visible ahead, for farmers, for trucking, and ... well, for everything that requires food (people) and energy (the entire economy).

These are very likely the final days of relative normalcy during which to prepare. Get ready.

https://boereport.com/2026/08/17/us-diesel-crack-surpasses-100-a-barrel-for-the-first-time-on-supply-disruptions/

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Food Crisis

🌾 🌍 🚜 JPMorgan warns a massive global food supply crisis could begin next year as fertilizer shortages tighten agricultural supply.

JPMorgan is the latest institutional research desk to warn that the next global food crisis may already be taking shape, driven by what its analysts describe as the "Five Ws": War, Weather, Warehousing, Water, and Waste.

In a new report titled Food Security Is National Security: A Compounding Storm, a team led by London-based senior global economist Nora Szentivanyi warned that disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz and the emergence of a potentially historic El Niño could weaken crop yields, constrain agricultural production, and keep food inflation elevated through the first half of 2027.

"Successive shocks since COVID have compounded, eroding food production capacity and keeping food price pressures elevated into 2027," Szentivanyi said, warning that "this is not a short-lived shock; it has reduced the likelihood of near-term disinflation, and the food ...

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