We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇱🇵🇸 The clear lesson here: Do not rely on our ability to predict if or when China might attack Taiwan — Elbridge Colby
Instead: Be ready.
“Some, perhaps subconsciously, are eager to have intelligence as a convenient scapegoat should debacles occur. But it falls to policymakers to realize that intelligence is always imperfect. For this reason, prediction should never take the place of preparedness.” — Elbridge Colby
How Was Israel Caught Off-Guard?
Hamas’ Oct. 7 attacks did not happen out of the blue. They were preceded by years of bitter conflict, ever since the group consolidated its control of the Gaza Strip in 2007. Months later, it remains deeply puzzling how Israel was caught so woefully unprepared.
Conventional explanations advanced over the years by numerous scholars and practitioners analyzing similar historical fiascoes provide part of the answer. The surprise can be attributed to abundant noise, deception, wishful thinking, groupthink, and failure of imagination. Nevertheless, careful analysis of the case at hand highlights several additional factors. The degree of surprise reflected an intelligence-collection shortfall on Hamas’ intentions.
There was an over-reliance on warning systems, a misguided policy and military attitude toward Hamas, and a toxic relationship between Israel’s top leadership and its defense and intelligence establishment. These factors both distracted the establishment and systematically discouraged a confrontation with Hamas. Taken together, these factors underscore the need for countries to recalibrate their expectations regarding warnings of potential attacks and to put a newfound emphasis on readiness rather than prediction.
🔗 https://warontherocks.com/2024/02/how-was-israel-caught-off-guard/
📎 Elbridge Colby
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱 WATCH: Jewish-American venture capitalist Michael Eisenberg urges Jews to move to Israel and explicitly calls the United States 'a declining empire' while sitting in New York for a conference.
In the UK, the Net Zero agenda has resulted in fleets of electric ambulances that don't have enough electricity to make the defibrillators work. 🤡
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"…there really is no place to run and hide. The time of the end is the time of no room.
Indeed, seemingly just a handful of technocrats will soon have the power to force everyone to “buy and sell” through their system once digital currency and digital IDs are imposed on the global populace. Then there will truly be nowhere to run, nowhere to hide.
So many of us are growing very tired and weary as we watch a system fall into place that we feel helpless to stop. Even though we have “filled our lamps with oil” as best we can to prepare for these days, we find the increasing evil, lukewarmness, blindness, cowardice, and political correctness of both secular and church authorities exhausting.
I am convinced that we are seeing the rise of this beast in our generation, however long that takes to unfold. As such, Mr. O’Brien is right: There really is no place to run and hide. “The time of the end is the time of no room.”
For instance, many in my country (Canada) have ...
