We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇱🇵🇸 The clear lesson here: Do not rely on our ability to predict if or when China might attack Taiwan — Elbridge Colby
Instead: Be ready.
“Some, perhaps subconsciously, are eager to have intelligence as a convenient scapegoat should debacles occur. But it falls to policymakers to realize that intelligence is always imperfect. For this reason, prediction should never take the place of preparedness.” — Elbridge Colby
How Was Israel Caught Off-Guard?
Hamas’ Oct. 7 attacks did not happen out of the blue. They were preceded by years of bitter conflict, ever since the group consolidated its control of the Gaza Strip in 2007. Months later, it remains deeply puzzling how Israel was caught so woefully unprepared.
Conventional explanations advanced over the years by numerous scholars and practitioners analyzing similar historical fiascoes provide part of the answer. The surprise can be attributed to abundant noise, deception, wishful thinking, groupthink, and failure of imagination. Nevertheless, careful analysis of the case at hand highlights several additional factors. The degree of surprise reflected an intelligence-collection shortfall on Hamas’ intentions.
There was an over-reliance on warning systems, a misguided policy and military attitude toward Hamas, and a toxic relationship between Israel’s top leadership and its defense and intelligence establishment. These factors both distracted the establishment and systematically discouraged a confrontation with Hamas. Taken together, these factors underscore the need for countries to recalibrate their expectations regarding warnings of potential attacks and to put a newfound emphasis on readiness rather than prediction.
đź”— https://warontherocks.com/2024/02/how-was-israel-caught-off-guard/
đź“Ž Elbridge Colby
This guy wrote a 25 line Python script he claims "can probably unredact all of the Epstein files in less than 30 seconds".
"I am not suicidal, I am a great swimmer, and I look forward to living my life well into my 80s."
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US / Iranian Conflict
Raising to AmCON 3 (Incident Probable)
Due to the following: deteriorating negotiations between the United States and Iran; the surge in the past 48 hours of “final stage” US military assets into the Middle East; vacating US personnel from bases in Syria; the “Fatwa” issued last summer by Iranian clerics in the Summer of 2025 calling Muslims around the world to rise up if Iran is attacked; the numerous reports of Iranians who have infiltrated the US southern border in recent years and the warnings of “sleeper cells” in the United States, AmRRON is raising the AmCON one level, to Level 3 (Incident Probable).
AmRRON Special Guidance and Instructions:
AmRRON will remain at AmCON 3 until further notice, and we will continuously be monitoring the situation. Additional changes to the AmCON level, and any special instructions or guidance, will be posted here, as well as through the AmRRON member Telegram Channel, the AmRRON Corps Z-Net, and the AmRRON Mobile Team App....
If you’re a parent, this should make your stomach drop!
Every year, millions of families across America proudly display school photos of their children.
On refrigerators. In picture frames. Sent to grandparents and relatives across the country.
But here’s what most parents are never told…
Those school photos are taken by Lifetouch — the largest school photography company in America.
Lifetouch is owned by Shutterfly.
Shutterfly was acquired by Apollo Global Management.
And Apollo Global Management was co-founded by Leon Black — a name that appears in the Epstein files.
That means millions of children’s images are uploaded into databases every single year by a corporate structure tied to someone connected to Epstein.
Let that sink in!
https://vxtwitter.com/i/status/2019500982997041332
