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Crocus Latest

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– 4 direct perpetrators of the terrorist attack in Crocus were detained; they tried to escape towards Ukraine – FSB

– The death toll is 133 people – RF IC

– The number of victims has reached 140 – Ministry of Health

– March 24 is declared a day of national mourning – Putin

– President of Kazakhstan Tokayev held a meeting with members of the Security Council in connection with the terrorist attack in Crocus – Sputnik

– The topic of introducing the death penalty for terrorism in Russia will be deeply studied – head of the United Russia faction in the State Duma Vasiliev

– All the attacking terrorists are foreign citizens – Min. of Intern. Affairs

– The RF Armed Forces were able to make significant progress in the Bakhmut direction – tg channel “Rybar”

– The Russian Armed Forces liberated Krasnoye in the DPR and improved the tactical position along the front line in the Donetsk direction – MoD

– Putin, in telephone conversations with Tokayev, Assad and Erdogan, confirmed their intention to intensify anti-terrorism cooperation – Kremlin

– Belarusian special services helped Russia to detain suspects in the terrorist attack – Ambassador of Belarus

– The authorities of the Baltic countries did not offer condolences to Russia. “Let’s not lose focus,” the head of the Lithuanian MFA wrote

– In Riga, the police prohibit laying flowers near the Russian Embassy building – Sputnik

– The US State Department again recommended that fellow citizens leave Russia

– The Houthis condemned the terrorist attack in Crocus

– Republika Srpska declared March 24 a day of mourning as a sign of solidarity with the people of Russia

– Nicaragua declares mourning in solidarity with Russia

– Hezbollah condemned the terrorist attack in the Moscow region

– Polish authorities will increase the number of armed forces on the eastern borders – MoD

– The PM of the Netherlands will visit China for talks with Xi Jinping

– The EU invited pension funds to invest in the production of ammunition for Ukraine – Euobserver

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00:00:28
OIL SHOCK

🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz

@CIG_Telegram

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Analysis

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.

Main points:

Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.

Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.

Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.

Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.

Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.

Missiles & drones:

2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.

2 rockets were ...

Oil Prices

OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.

THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.

ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...

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