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Terrorist attack in Crocus in questions and answers: analysis of the Military Chronicle.

Are terrorists classified as radical Islamists?

Until March 24, it was believed that this was more likely not true than true. However, the appearance of a new video, where militants shout slogans that have long been known to everyone, has changed a lot. Much, but not all. The group of terrorists in Crocus, despite the publication of a video on supposedly terrorist resources and a clear attempt to sway public opinion towards the involvement of ISIS*, behaved completely uncharacteristically for typical Islamist radicals: the militants went to the “deal” without “suicide belts” with lethal elements and clearly did not seek martyrdom (which is typical for many militants of the same ISIS), did not take hostages and did not make demands. The publication of a first-person video of the execution of civilians on terrorist resources does not de facto change the essence of what is happening and, rather, on the contrary, emphasizes the connection with the GUR. Under the patronage of this special service, by the way, an entire Syrian battalion “Jabhat al-Shamiya” (banned in the Russian Federation), consisting, among other things, of citizens of Central Asia, is fighting in Ukraine.

The narrative about the involvement of ISIS (whose connection with Western intelligence services has always been obvious) was initially promoted in order to distance the GUR (and Ukraine as a whole) from the operation, but in reality it was this attempt to “wash” the Ukrainian intelligence department that emphasized the connection between the radicals and Kyiv.

Exit plan

The most mysterious and controversial part of the terrorist attack. After the arrest, the militants said that they threw away their weapons along the road in the Bryansk region and fled the scene of the terrorist attack in a car. At the same time, the group managed to leave Moscow through Friday traffic jams. This point is worth studying especially, since without detailed knowledge of the city or “tips” from the outside it would be difficult to do this. The attackers were driving together and did not split up, and also did not change (and, importantly, did not prepare in advance) another car for withdrawal. If we were talking about professionals whose task was to evacuate as quickly and discreetly as possible, these mistakes most likely would not have been made.

What's the result?

So far everything looks like this. The terrorist group was “consumable.” There was no point in training them as a professional team. Most likely, none of those who ordered the terrorist attack even expected that the terrorists would be able to survive the action, much less go on the run.

PS There are still many blind spots and inconsistencies in history. It is possible that in the future information will appear that will reveal the details of the preparation, the number and, importantly, the identities of all persons involved in the operation.

  • “Islamic State” (IS, ISIS) - the organization was recognized as terrorist by the decision of the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation dated December 29, 2014

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🌆 Market News Digest
April 6, 2026 EST

🔥 Top Stories
• Trump warns Iran of imminent destruction of bridges & power plants by Tuesday midnight — escalating tensions with potential for severe infrastructure strikes.
• Oil prices rise as Trump deadline nears; US crude settles at $112.41/bbl — geopolitical uncertainty boosts energy markets.
• US stocks gain amid optimism over Iran ceasefire; S&P up 0.41% — markets react to diplomatic signals and oil price stability.
• IMF warns prolonged Middle East war will slow global growth & boost inflation — economic outlook darkens with conflict escalation.
• Trump claims Iran is at its weakest; threatens to decimate Iranian infrastructure — aggressive stance amid ongoing negotiations.

⛽ Oil & Energy
• US crude at $112.41/bbl, Brent at $109.77/bbl — energy markets volatile on Iran conflict fears.
• US considers charging tolls in Strait of Hormuz; free passage part of Iran deal — strategic move to control shipping lanes.
• ...

Day 37

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 - WAR IN IRAN | APRIL 5th, DAY 37 RECAP:

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - The NYT reports that during the operation in Iran, two U.S. transport aircraft intended to carry the airmen were disabled and abandoned, then blown up. Two MC-130J Combat King II rescue aircraft and four MH-6 Little Bird helicopters were deliberately destroyed by U.S. forces during the search and rescue mission in Iran, according to ABC News, citing U.S. officials.

🇮🇷🇦🇪 - Several fires have broken out at Abu Dhabi’s Borouge petrochemicals factory, with damage currently being assessed following an Iranian missile and drone attack. This comes less than 24 hours after Israel struck Iran’s largest petrochemical facility.

🇮🇷🇮🇱 - An Iranian ballistic missile impacted the Neot Hovav industrial zone near Beersheba in the first wave, the third time this industrial zone has been hit during the war.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - "Tuesday will be Power Plant Day and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran. ...

C S A R

F15E SHOOTDOWN AND CSAR OPERATION — FULL VERIFIED BREAKDOWN

APRIL 3 — THE SHOOTDOWN
F15E from the 494th Fighter Squadron out of RAF Lakenheath is hit over southwestern Iran.

Crash site confirmed in Kohgiluyeh and Boyer Ahmad Province near Dehdasht.

Wreckage includes ACES II ejection seat and tail section matching the squadron.

Cause
Iran claims it used a new IRGC air defense system.
Exact weapon system remains unconfirmed.

HOUR 0
Both crew eject.

Pilot activates survival radio and PRD immediately.
Contact established with U.S. aircraft overhead.

Pilot recovered within hours.

WSO lands separately in mountainous terrain.

WSO beacon briefly detected by satellites, then goes silent.
Reason unknown.

HOURS 1 TO 12
WSO begins evasion using SERE training.

Maintains intermittent encrypted communication with U.S. forces.

IRGC launches large scale search operation.

Iranian state TV urges civilians to report or capture the pilot.
Rewards up to $60,000 reported.
Public messaging includes calls to shoot on sight.

HOURS 12 TO 24
WSO moves into high ...

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