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Escalation

The USA is concerned about possible involvement in the Middle East conflict

Several American political analysts are concerned that if Israel reacts inadequately to Iran's attacks, the situation could escalate to the point where it directly affects the USA, NBC News reports.

Despite President Joe Biden's repeated statements that he does not plan to assist Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, foreign political analysts are unanimous in their opinion that the Biden administration's policy of preventing escalation has failed.

"The Biden administration's strategy has failed miserably. He is involving the USA in yet another catastrophic war in the Middle East," said Professor Favaz Gerges of the London School of Economics.

Political analysts point out that the escalation of the conflict for Israel began with the strike on the consulate in Syria, partly provoked by Washington's assurance of assistance.

"Instead of talking about 'ironclad' support for Israel, the president should have made it clear that US support is limited and does not apply to all circumstances. A war with Iran will jeopardise US security without clear benefit," noted the Political Director of the Defence Priorities Centre, Benjamin Friedman.

After Iran's strike on Israel, the White House stated that the US armed forces do not intend to participate in a retaliatory military operation against Iran if it were to begin.

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The war in Iran is having the impact that most people with any sense knew it would have: The price of oil is going up, and the supply of oil is going down.

Of course, whether or not the latter of these is actually true we will never know, and it’s beside the point. Oil companies will natural take the slightest excuse to price gouge and contrive scarcity for the basest of profit motives.

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https://off-guardian.org/2026/03/16/iran-fuel-rationing-are-energy-lockdowns-on-the-way/

The Middle East war is close to triggering a global food shock worse than that unleashed by Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine, experts have said, as fertiliser shortages threaten food production on multiple continents. archive.is

That means that of the 2.1mn tonnes of urea — the world’s most widely used nitrogen fertiliser — that would normally have been loaded for export over the past two weeks, about half has been disrupted.
At the same time, more than 1.1mn tonnes of fertiliser and fertiliser inputs, including 570,000 tonnes of urea, is currently stuck in the Gulf, either being loaded or already on ships, according to Kpler data.
Nitrogen fertilisers, which underpin about half of global food production, are made from ammonia using natural gas, which has soared in price since the war began last month.
The shortages have begun during the northern hemisphere’s planting season, leading industry executives to warn of lower harvests for staples such as rice.
If the disruption continues, ā€œthis will be much worse than 2022ā€, said Veronica Nigh, senior economist at The Fertilizer Institute, a US-based trade group. ā€œThe longer the conflict goes on, the more dire the situation will become.ā€
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