We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
đź’ś đź“°
– The Russian AF took control of Ocheretino in the DPR – Russian MoD
– Ukraine’s creditors are losing patience and want to achieve interest payments on the debt – WSJ
– NATO “in a very confidential manner” has “established” two “red lines” for itself, which could be followed by direct intervention of the alliance in the conflict – Repubblica
– The volume of transit of Russian gas to China through the territory of Kazakhstan is planned at about 35 billion m3 per year – Ambassador of Kazakhstan to Russia Abaev
– Xi Jinping arrived on a state visit to France
– European countries need China to solve world problems – Macron
– The PRC intends to work with France and the entire international community to find ways to resolve the Ukrainian crisis – Xi Jinping
– Lithuania finances the training of militants who want to overthrow the government in Belarus – FM Aleynik
– Iran plans to begin construction of the “nuclear island” of the Karun nuclear power plant in the fall of this year – head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Mohammad Eslami
– The Cabinet voted unanimously to close Al-Jazeera in Israel – Netanyahu
– Militants of the French Foreign Legion have already been deployed in Slavyansk – ex-Assistant US Deputy Secretary of Defense Brian
– The EU mission in the Red Sea does not have enough ships – Der Spiegel
– Next week in Berlin they will discuss the possibility of sending Ukrainians of military age to their homeland – Head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Hesse region
– The US suspended arms sales to Israel last week – Axios
– Over the year, Ukraine lost 15% of grain exports – UA War Infographics
– Ukraine will receive from Rheinmetall prototypes of 155-caliber artillery shells capable of hitting targets at a distance of 100 km – CEO of the concern Papperger
– Xi Jinping pointed out the need to create an independent Palestinian state – TASS
– The Israeli War Cabinet discussed the Rafah operation and the release of the hostages
Boost | 💜🇷🇺 RD
🇺🇸 #Oklahoma high school principal (Kirk Moore) seen charging at and disarming a school shooter.
The suspect, identified as 20-year-old Victor Hawkins, was a former student who said he wanted to shoot up the school “like the Columbine shooters did.” While taking down the shooter, Moore was shot in the leg. He is expected to recover.
When the Principal woke up that day, he never thought he would be tackling a gunman.
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🇨🇳🛢 How much strategic oil does the world actually have in reserve?
Global strategic crude oil inventories stood at ~2.5 BILLION barrels as of December 2025, according to the US Energy Information Administration.
China holds by far the largest stockpile at 1,397 million barrels, more than 3 times the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve of 413 million barrels, which itself sits at only 58% of its full storage capacity of 714 million barrels.
China added an average of 1.1 million barrels per day to its strategic inventories throughout 2025, with preliminary data suggesting it continued building stockpiles in early 2026 ahead of the Iran War.
Japan holds the 3rd-largest reserve at 263 million barrels, followed by OECD European countries at 179 million barrels.
Meanwhile, the US is releasing 172 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve to suppress oil prices, part of a broader 400 million barrel coordinated release agreed by 32 IEA member nations in March.
đź”— ...
🛢 JP Morgan Warns Oil Market Out of Balance, Prices Must Rise
🔸The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil flows, has removed 13.7 million barrels per day from global supply in April alone. A JP Morgan research note warns the market has no good way to replace it.
🔸Normally, spare production capacity in Saudi Arabia and the UAE acts as the market’s shock absorber. But that buffer has effectively been removed, eliminating the system’s first line of defense.
🔸With spare capacity unavailable, markets turned to inventories
➤ Global stockpiles are now being drained at ~7.1 mbd in April, an extraordinary pace, according to the note.
🔸Meanwhile, demand is collapsing because supply simply isn’t reaching users — “forced demand destruction.”The hardest hit sectors include:
▪️ Petrochemical plants across Asia are shutting down or slashing output as LPG, ethane, and naphtha flows from the Gulf collapse
▪️ Airline jet fuel ...
🛢⛽️ Global oil inventories are heading toward RECORD LOWS:
Global visible oil inventories have fallen -255 million barrels since the start of the conflict on February 27, to 7,864 million barrels.
Total estimated oil draws, including non-OECD refined products storage, have accelerated to 10.9 million barrels per day in April, the largest monthly draws on record since 2017.
Cumulative estimated draws since the start of the war now stand at 474 million barrels, with Hormuz flows holding at ~10% of normal, or 2.0 million barrels per day.
Meanwhile, even in an optimistic scenario where Strait of Hormuz flows begin recovering by late April, it is unlikely to prevent global visible inventories from reaching all-time lows, according to Goldman Sachs.
As inventories keep falling, physical oil markets are likely to require sharply higher prices for immediate delivery, since buyers cannot wait months for cheaper futures delivery when stocks are running critically low.
Goldman also warns...
