We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
Is it possible that NATO forces could become directly involved in the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine?
Until recently, such a question seemed very hypothetical given the high risks of escalation of the military confrontation between the US-led bloc and Russia into a large-scale armed conflict. But this scenario should be taken seriously now, writes Ivan Timofeev, programme director of the Valdai Club
“A significant escalation factor that would amplify the risk of a direct clash between Russia and NATO, could be the appearance of military contingents form bloc members on the territory of Ukraine. The prospect of such a scenario has already been mentioned by some Western politicians, although their view has not been supported by the US and isn’t an official NATO position.”
“Each of these scenarios involves a direct clash between Russian and NATO forces. Such a situation would inevitably raise the question of deeper bloc involvement and, in the longer term, the transfer of military conflict to other areas of contact with Russia, including the Baltic region. At this stage, it will be even more difficult to stop the escalation. The more losses both sides suffer, the more the maelstrom of hostilities will grow and the closer they will come to the threshold of using nuclear weapons. And there will be no winners.”
https://www.rt.com/russia/599286-russia-nato-ukraine-conflict/
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Many have asked my opinion on a possible Russia-NATO conflict.
This is going to annoy many people, and hopefully give them a reality check, but my opinion is very simple.
1. Russia had some valid strategic and ideological reasons for what it did in Ukraine, regardless of whether I condone the invasion or not. Was it successful? Arguably yes, arguably no—it depends on what you consider as the war’s key objectives. The war actually pushed two neutral countries into NATO and pulled Ukraine even further away from Russian influence.
2. Russia does not have any valid strategic reason to invade the Baltics or any other NATO territory. Any attack on the Baltics cannot be excused as ‘protecting Russian culture & language’ or fighting ‘Nazism’. If this does happen, it’ll be a clear sign of expansionism, nothing more and nothing less. Russia is not a saintly country and I don’t put it past them.
3. If Russia does miscalculate and invade NATO territory, it will backfire ...
🌆 Market News Digest
[Sept 22, 2026 EST]
🔥 Top Stories
• Trump says US-Iran talks were “very productive” — White House/mediators signal momentum on a deal; Hormuz reopening and sanctions relief remain central
• Oil swings on Hormuz diplomacy, then settles lower — Brent/$94.59 WTI after ceasefire/deal hopes offset blockade and tanker-risk headlines
• Trump UNGA speech: hard line on Iran, AI, Greenland — urged isolation of Iran, vowed no global AI controls, signed Greenland security deal
• US stocks end mixed; Nasdaq hits fresh record — chip/AI names led, while banks lagged and rates stayed firm
⛽ Oil & Energy
• Hormuz remains the key market risk — Iran alternates between reopening talk and threats; U.S.com/Gulf push de-escalation and alternative flow routes
• Aramco, Libya, Iraq headlines support supply-watch — Aramco eyes gas reorg/listings; Libyan shutdown trims output; Iraq exports top 3 mln bpd
📊 Markets & Macro
• Fed speakers stay hawkish-ish — Collins/Barkin ...
