Consumer Sentiment & the C.P.Lie
The latest Michigan survey saw 1Y-inflation expectations increase to 3.5% (versus 3.2% expected) and consumer sentiment plunge from 69.1 to 65.6 (versus 72 expected).
We don't need to tell you that this is a bad outright terrible result, but meanwhile the Fed as usual has its blinders on, desperate to explain it away because, after all, "why, at a time of falling inflation, low unemployment, and strong economic growth, do voters appear so unsatisfied with the state of the economy, and in how Biden is handling the economy? Why in particular do voters complain so much about inflation?" (That's a quote)
The first comes from the Richmond Fed, which finds that "consumers whose political party is in office tend to have higher sentiment than those affiliated with the party not in office," noting that "the partisan sentiment gap has widened over time."
The second, much more convincing result, is some research from the Chicago School of Business, which used the pre-1983 CPI that took home prices and mortgage interest payments into account.
"If it still did, inflation would have peaked at nearly 18 percent in late 2022, about double the current CPI measure."
In fact, as the study itself claims, "If we measured inflation as the BLS did in the 1970s, the recent bout of inflation would have been even higher than the worst of the 1970s! It really is as bad now as it was then."
If the CPI were to include interest paid on personal debt (such as auto loans and credit-card debt), that would also produce a much higher inflation rate than suggested by the current official measure (chart above). In fact, using this CPI, the year-over-year change in inflation has only just returned back down to its 2022 highs.
Maybe this would better explain for the economists like John Cochrane why "voters complain so much about inflation?"
🇺🇸 Black Lives Matter founder located in Illinois, Clyde McLemore has been exposed for brutally beating on his female employee who accused him of embezzling grants.
Follow us -> LiveLeak
American in Livonia, Michigan shows if you just put the gas pump down and don’t pump gas, it still slowly charges you for gas
I’ve seen similar videos to this all over America
Americans really are being robbed in every way possible
https://x.com/WallStreetApes/status/2028502600631664885?s=20
Trump's war on Iran is causing Gulf states to reassess their relationship with the U.S. and look to diversify their foreign partnerships:
"Many believe he dragged the Gulf into a war shaped heavily by Israel, without sharing a plan and acting hastily and without fully weighing the political and economic fallout for allies."
The U.S. is simply torching its diplomatic leverage for Israeli interests.
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AI as it is currently understood is not mere technology, but a system of total technological domination over the public. Just as institutions and people have already ceded too much of cyberspace to the cloud, we are in danger of offering even more of our lives and society on the altar of centralized computing. The ‘singularity’ was never to be an economic or technological boon, but rather the mere collapse of society under the weight of digital totalitarianism. Naked human dominance and tyranny was the face behind the techno-utopian mask. A generation was evicted from the ideal of home ownership by the combination of a variety of economic and social forces, it would seem that the same is taking place in cyberspace. ‘Hardware is the new homes’, as the public becomes priced out of securing a modest home server.
AI as it is currently understood is not mere technology, but a system of total technological domination over the public. Just as institutions and people have already ceded...
Iran War Hits Cyber, Food, Energy: Stryker Cyberattack, India Fertilizer Stoppage
Iran's escalating war is now striking on multiple fronts: massive cyber wiper attacks + real-world food and energy disruptions:
Handala (Iran-linked)'s cyberattack on Stryker wiped data from 200,000 devices, halting operations. India's fertilizer production stopped due to LNG shortages, right before planting season.
Fuel rationing hits West Australia (emergency-only sales) and Bangladesh, while Vietnam, South Korea, and Pakistan impose work-from-home, price caps, and austerity measures like 4-day work weeks.
This isn't hypothetical anymore—cyber pandemic warnings from IBM/WEF-linked reports are playing out alongside engineered shortages impacting global rice, wheat, cotton, and sugar supplies. The technocrats are engineering crises, managing perceptions as they cast blow after blow on supply chains. Start gardening now!
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