We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
Consumer Sentiment & the C.P.Lie
The latest Michigan survey saw 1Y-inflation expectations increase to 3.5% (versus 3.2% expected) and consumer sentiment plunge from 69.1 to 65.6 (versus 72 expected).
We don't need to tell you that this is a bad outright terrible result, but meanwhile the Fed as usual has its blinders on, desperate to explain it away because, after all, "why, at a time of falling inflation, low unemployment, and strong economic growth, do voters appear so unsatisfied with the state of the economy, and in how Biden is handling the economy? Why in particular do voters complain so much about inflation?" (That's a quote)
The first comes from the Richmond Fed, which finds that "consumers whose political party is in office tend to have higher sentiment than those affiliated with the party not in office," noting that "the partisan sentiment gap has widened over time."
The second, much more convincing result, is some research from the Chicago School of Business, which used the pre-1983 CPI that took home prices and mortgage interest payments into account.
"If it still did, inflation would have peaked at nearly 18 percent in late 2022, about double the current CPI measure."
In fact, as the study itself claims, "If we measured inflation as the BLS did in the 1970s, the recent bout of inflation would have been even higher than the worst of the 1970s! It really is as bad now as it was then."
If the CPI were to include interest paid on personal debt (such as auto loans and credit-card debt), that would also produce a much higher inflation rate than suggested by the current official measure (chart above). In fact, using this CPI, the year-over-year change in inflation has only just returned back down to its 2022 highs.
Maybe this would better explain for the economists like John Cochrane why "voters complain so much about inflation?"
“Why is this country trying to kill us?”
Major toilet paper brands in America have been found to contain forever chemicals. PFAS cause cancer, hormone disruption and more
Major brands include
- Bounty
- Charmin Ultra Soft Toilet Paper
- Cottonelle
- Quilted Northern
- Scott
- Kirkland Signature (Costco brand)
- Seventh Generation 100% Recycled Bath Tissue
- Tushy Bamboo Toilet Paper
- Who Gives a Crap Bamboo Toilet Paper
- Angel Soft
21 in brands total were found to contain forever chemicals. It should be illegal
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🇿🇦 Police airlift a crocodile with the body of a 59-year-old businessman inside.
Local police in #SouthAfrica say they suspected the crocodile ate the man after observing it from drones. They then shot it and airlifted it off. When they landed back on the ground, the crocodile was sliced open, and human remains were found.
The remains are believed to be those of 59-year-old Gabriel Batista, who had previously been swept away in raging floodwaters. His ring was found inside the animal along with six other pairs of shoes.
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Illinois: Video Shows Palestinian Police Officer Urging Arabs to Flood U.S. Police Departments
A Palestinian police officer in Bridgeview, Illinois is urging the Arab community to flood U.S. police departments in huge numbers. His blunt message “the more the merrier” has now sparked major controversy.
Read the full story here: https://lawenforcementtoday.com/illinoisvideoshowspalestinianpoliceofficerurgingarabstoflooduspolicedepartments
@police_frequency
📢 🇺🇸 🚷 Congressman Andy Ogles on X:
Excited to announce that my 83-page ASSIMILATION Act has been introduced.
Months of labor were undertaken by my staff, Senator Tuberville and myself in order to GUT the Hart-Celler Act of 1965, as well as scrap provisions of the Immigration Act of the 1990s.
The goal of this bill is simple: end replacement migration and ensure American cultural cohesion.
This bill will end the H-1B scam, ensure migrants NEVER become a public charge, and make America look like America again. FYI, net immigration immediately decreases by 85% under this bill.
Some other things it does:
• National Interest Standard
• Stringent Character Tests
• Mandatory E-Verify
• Ends Chain Migration
• Ends Diversity Lottery
• GUTS Birthright Citizenship
• WAY Tougher Asylum Standards
• Stronger Public Charge Rules
• 10 Year Citizenship Requirement
• English & American Civics PROFICIENCY
📎 Rep. Andy Ogles
BREAKING: US data center construction spending jumped +34% YoY in March, to a record $50 billion annualized rate.
Spending on data centers is up +437% since the beginning of 2021, when the annualized rate stood at ~$9 billion.
This is also up +688% since the start of 2018, when the annualized rate was just ~$6 billion.
Meanwhile, office building construction spending fell -9% YoY in March, to $46 billion, the lowest since 2015.
This means that spending on data centers now exceeds office building construction by $4 billion, or +9%.
To put this into perspective, office construction spending exceeded data center spending by $65 billion, or +650%, in 2020.
AI is fundamentally transforming the US economy.
(@TheKobeissiLetter)
