We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
HOSTAGE DEAL UPDATE:
Early this morning, we saw reports in Israel that Sinwar was under increasing pressure due to the operation in Rafah and IDF control of the Philadelphi Corridor. Sinwar fears that every day that goes by without a deal, his chances of survival go down, and the chances that Israel will rescue more hostages go up (AKA he loses leverage in negotiations). Some unofficial sources claim that Sinwar has accepted that Hamas will not govern Gaza after the war. Still, he is ADAMANT that the IDF withdraw from the Philadelphi Corridor because that is his oxygen supply. This will be the contention point going forward.
This afternoon, we received the report that the Mossad had received an answer from Hamas vis-à-vis the deal offered a few weeks ago. While we don’t have the full details of the answer yet, Israeli officials are claiming that this is the most positive response so far from Hamas, and they can work with it for once, albeit the negotiations will still take a long time and are not assured. Hamas supporters have already started celebrating, claiming that they were able to reach a deal to end the war.
From Israel’s perspective, while this is not necessarily the ideal situation, barring any untenable demands from Hamas, this deal will probably be the best way to get some hostages back alive. If there is no deal, the chance that hostages will be killed continues to escalate.
However, an important point to consider is that this deal was presented BEFORE the IDF took control of the Philadelphi Corridor, and that aspect of it would be a massive problem. I don’t see a situation where the IDF withdraws from the corridor, and I don’t see Hamas agreeing to a deal that keeps Israeli forces choking their supply lines. It remains to be seen how that issue will be negotiated.
It is essential to keep in mind that for many in Israel, Gaza is not nearly as important as the North anymore. All attention and focus are being shifted toward Lebanon, and the IDF needs as much of its available resources and manpower for what is to come with Hezbollah.
Overall, while I am not happy with the circumstances of this potential deal, I understand the various perspectives and considerations that go into it, and I trust Bibi to make the right decision for the country and our people. He holds all of the information, and we try to make sense of it; the rest is out of our hands.
(Raylan Givens on X)
The village of Piddington has voted for independence from the United Kingdom and to become a self governing village in a landslide vote.
91% Voting Leave
This comes after news that over 3,000 illegal migrants are to be dumped in their village.
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🌆 Market News Digest
[Sept 22, 2026 EST]
🔥 Top Stories
• Trump says US-Iran talks were “very productive” — White House/mediators signal momentum on a deal; Hormuz reopening and sanctions relief remain central
• Oil swings on Hormuz diplomacy, then settles lower — Brent/$94.59 WTI after ceasefire/deal hopes offset blockade and tanker-risk headlines
• Trump UNGA speech: hard line on Iran, AI, Greenland — urged isolation of Iran, vowed no global AI controls, signed Greenland security deal
• US stocks end mixed; Nasdaq hits fresh record — chip/AI names led, while banks lagged and rates stayed firm
⛽ Oil & Energy
• Hormuz remains the key market risk — Iran alternates between reopening talk and threats; U.S.com/Gulf push de-escalation and alternative flow routes
• Aramco, Libya, Iraq headlines support supply-watch — Aramco eyes gas reorg/listings; Libyan shutdown trims output; Iraq exports top 3 mln bpd
📊 Markets & Macro
• Fed speakers stay hawkish-ish — Collins/Barkin ...
PN I know I disappeared for awhile. I’ve been writing a little but not much. I had a death in my family and it hit hard. I’m trying to get moving but having a hard time.
I want you to know my husband works for one of the largest trucking companies in the country driving heavy haul. He delivers feed to all the chickens out here in the pacific nw. Up and down Wa and Or. He will not be participating in the protest 10/1 due to the fact that he is company and this job was hard to find. He feels diesel is going up in a very bad way. That’s the word with the truckers. If things continue the way they are it may be $8-10 a gallon in ten days. They are trying to break us. His company subsides the diesel through the government so they don’t feel the effect except when seeing the pumps. He feels that they will be affected heavily by the end of the month, the company rigs that is. It’s going to get very nasty and with all this stuff in the middle east with both straits, as you already ...
