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Analysis Iran

🇮🇱🇮🇷 Personally, I don't think Iran will respond in the way everyone expects.

Iran will not attack Israel with missiles, as this would definitely trigger an all-out war between Iran and the US, who are willing to go to war on Israel's behalf.

This war the US will definitely lose, territorially due to logistics and will have to leave the Middle East, but Iran and the entire region will suffer huge consequences.

Iran will lose all the oil platforms, power plants and other critical facilities it has been building for years.

Iran is still not fully prepared for such a war, as they still lack many air defense systems, the latest generation of fighter jets, intercontinental ballistic missiles that can reach the United States, they also need to officially announce that they possess several nuclear warheads, and to possess several submarines that they will carry all those weapons including nukes.

This will tie the hands of the United States, which, unlike Russia, will not hesitate to use tactical nuclear weapons.

The price of such a victory for Iran is unaffordable and will literally destroy the country.

If Iran decides to take such a step, it will again be very limited, followed only by material damage.

The cost of such a war to the US is also huge and therefore some balance of patience is maintained.

Iran's response to Israel's assassination of the Hamas leader in Teheran will be of a similar nature.

Probably one of the ministers in the government of Israel will lose his head in Tel Aviv. Iran, like Israel, will officially deny involvement, and the hot chestnut will again fall into Israel's hands.

It can happen only at an opportune moment, maybe even in 3 years.

However, even if Israel reaches an agreement with Hamas, Hezbollah will not stop and drones and missiles will continue to fly on both sides, albeit with reduced intensity.

@Megatron_ron

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 - 14 wounded in Iranian missile strike in central Israel, according to Israeli media.

🇬🇧🇮🇶 - A drone struck British Castrol oil warehouses in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan, causing extensive damage.

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🇱🇧🇮🇱 - Over the past 12 hours, Hezbollah launched counterattacks in Khiam and Qantara, in the Nabatieh direction, southeast Lebanon. Hezbollah recaptured northern Khiam, with fighting ongoing for the south of the town. Hezbollah units also re-entered Qantara; frontline sources reported clashes in the center of the town last night.

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🇱🇧🇮🇱 - "The Israeli army is barely catching its breath in southern Lebanon, and its resources are less than in the previous round of fighting," - Haaretz....

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