🇮🇱🇮🇷 Personally, I don't think Iran will respond in the way everyone expects.
Iran will not attack Israel with missiles, as this would definitely trigger an all-out war between Iran and the US, who are willing to go to war on Israel's behalf.
This war the US will definitely lose, territorially due to logistics and will have to leave the Middle East, but Iran and the entire region will suffer huge consequences.
Iran will lose all the oil platforms, power plants and other critical facilities it has been building for years.
Iran is still not fully prepared for such a war, as they still lack many air defense systems, the latest generation of fighter jets, intercontinental ballistic missiles that can reach the United States, they also need to officially announce that they possess several nuclear warheads, and to possess several submarines that they will carry all those weapons including nukes.
This will tie the hands of the United States, which, unlike Russia, will not hesitate to use tactical nuclear weapons.
The price of such a victory for Iran is unaffordable and will literally destroy the country.
If Iran decides to take such a step, it will again be very limited, followed only by material damage.
The cost of such a war to the US is also huge and therefore some balance of patience is maintained.
Iran's response to Israel's assassination of the Hamas leader in Teheran will be of a similar nature.
Probably one of the ministers in the government of Israel will lose his head in Tel Aviv. Iran, like Israel, will officially deny involvement, and the hot chestnut will again fall into Israel's hands.
It can happen only at an opportune moment, maybe even in 3 years.
However, even if Israel reaches an agreement with Hamas, Hezbollah will not stop and drones and missiles will continue to fly on both sides, albeit with reduced intensity.
@Megatron_ron
Police in Winona Minnesota are stunned after every single one of their Flock cameras were suddenly removed in a single night.
According to the police department, all 8 of the town's cameras were cut down and hauled away.
Police are asking for the public's help to identify the individual, but the public has been responding with comments such as:
"The Flock cameras tore themselves down"
"Whoever did it, was fishing with me"
"Whoever it was, was at Bible study with me"
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Nearly 20,000 people are publicly vouching for a man accused of cutting down Flock cameras in a small West Virginia town.
People commented:
"He was saving my neighbor's dog from a fire all day, couldn't be him."
"This man is innocent. I saw him serving at a soup kitchen."
-"Couldn't be him. He was helping me replace the roof on a homeless shelter."
The man, Wesley Jackson, has pleaded Not Guilty.
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US diesel crack surpasses $100 a barrel for the first time on supply disruptions
... and the supply of refined fuels is already nearly exhausted. A hard landing is visible ahead, for farmers, for trucking, and ... well, for everything that requires food (people) and energy (the entire economy).
These are very likely the final days of relative normalcy during which to prepare. Get ready.
🌾 🌍 🚜 JPMorgan warns a massive global food supply crisis could begin next year as fertilizer shortages tighten agricultural supply.
JPMorgan is the latest institutional research desk to warn that the next global food crisis may already be taking shape, driven by what its analysts describe as the "Five Ws": War, Weather, Warehousing, Water, and Waste.
In a new report titled Food Security Is National Security: A Compounding Storm, a team led by London-based senior global economist Nora Szentivanyi warned that disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz and the emergence of a potentially historic El Niño could weaken crop yields, constrain agricultural production, and keep food inflation elevated through the first half of 2027.
"Successive shocks since COVID have compounded, eroding food production capacity and keeping food price pressures elevated into 2027," Szentivanyi said, warning that "this is not a short-lived shock; it has reduced the likelihood of near-term disinflation, and the food ...