📊 There's a popular saying that if you're not a liberal at 20, you have no heart, but if you're not a conservative by 40, you have no brain.
It might be more accurate to imagine that people's formative years have large, persistent impacts on their beliefs. A study by Andy Gelman showed how.
In the Gelman model, high presidential approval during a (White) birth cohort's teen years leads them to favor that president's party for the rest of their lives. Whatever the reason, it's as if they're acting to bring back the 'good old days' of their cognizant childhood. To get an idea of how this looks, look at Eisenhower Republicans:
The Eisenhower Republicans were those who missed most of the FDR years and were socialized in ten straight years of Republicans, of which the Eisenhower years had positive spin. As a result, that cohort became very pro-Republican, but then the very pro-Democrat Kennedy and Johnson years moderated them back to being a bit less pro-Republican.
The 1960s Liberals were born a bit later than the Eisenhower Republicans and they got to experience the pro-Kennedy and Johnson years in their formative years, but the next 25 years of strongly pro-Republican sentiment brought them to near-neutrality.
One of the most well-known political generations is the Reagan Conservatives. This generation got to experience strong pro-Republican sentiment and they ushered in the real Reagan Revolution: a cohort with strong pro-Republican leanings and little moderation due to the balance of sentiment between Clinton and Bush II, and Obama's nearly neutral sentiment.
Other cohorts like the New Deal Democrats and Millennials have their own biases that follow from the same dynamics, and if you plot them all together, you get a clear picture of the sentiment of the White electorate:
Now do note, I said Whites. This model works slightly better for non-Southern than for Southern Whites, and compared to those two groups, it works less than half as well for non-White minorities.
In any case, this model based on formative year impacts can explain roughly 90% of the variance in vote choices in the electorate. If you want to get people's votes, get them early in life, and you might be able to hold them through waves of less popular candidates from your own party.
🇺🇸 Black Lives Matter founder located in Illinois, Clyde McLemore has been exposed for brutally beating on his female employee who accused him of embezzling grants.
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American in Livonia, Michigan shows if you just put the gas pump down and don’t pump gas, it still slowly charges you for gas
I’ve seen similar videos to this all over America
Americans really are being robbed in every way possible
https://x.com/WallStreetApes/status/2028502600631664885?s=20
Trump's war on Iran is causing Gulf states to reassess their relationship with the U.S. and look to diversify their foreign partnerships:
"Many believe he dragged the Gulf into a war shaped heavily by Israel, without sharing a plan and acting hastily and without fully weighing the political and economic fallout for allies."
The U.S. is simply torching its diplomatic leverage for Israeli interests.
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AI as it is currently understood is not mere technology, but a system of total technological domination over the public. Just as institutions and people have already ceded too much of cyberspace to the cloud, we are in danger of offering even more of our lives and society on the altar of centralized computing. The ‘singularity’ was never to be an economic or technological boon, but rather the mere collapse of society under the weight of digital totalitarianism. Naked human dominance and tyranny was the face behind the techno-utopian mask. A generation was evicted from the ideal of home ownership by the combination of a variety of economic and social forces, it would seem that the same is taking place in cyberspace. ‘Hardware is the new homes’, as the public becomes priced out of securing a modest home server.
AI as it is currently understood is not mere technology, but a system of total technological domination over the public. Just as institutions and people have already ceded...
Iran War Hits Cyber, Food, Energy: Stryker Cyberattack, India Fertilizer Stoppage
Iran's escalating war is now striking on multiple fronts: massive cyber wiper attacks + real-world food and energy disruptions:
Handala (Iran-linked)'s cyberattack on Stryker wiped data from 200,000 devices, halting operations. India's fertilizer production stopped due to LNG shortages, right before planting season.
Fuel rationing hits West Australia (emergency-only sales) and Bangladesh, while Vietnam, South Korea, and Pakistan impose work-from-home, price caps, and austerity measures like 4-day work weeks.
This isn't hypothetical anymore—cyber pandemic warnings from IBM/WEF-linked reports are playing out alongside engineered shortages impacting global rice, wheat, cotton, and sugar supplies. The technocrats are engineering crises, managing perceptions as they cast blow after blow on supply chains. Start gardening now!
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