We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
📊 There's a popular saying that if you're not a liberal at 20, you have no heart, but if you're not a conservative by 40, you have no brain.
It might be more accurate to imagine that people's formative years have large, persistent impacts on their beliefs. A study by Andy Gelman showed how.
In the Gelman model, high presidential approval during a (White) birth cohort's teen years leads them to favor that president's party for the rest of their lives. Whatever the reason, it's as if they're acting to bring back the 'good old days' of their cognizant childhood. To get an idea of how this looks, look at Eisenhower Republicans:
The Eisenhower Republicans were those who missed most of the FDR years and were socialized in ten straight years of Republicans, of which the Eisenhower years had positive spin. As a result, that cohort became very pro-Republican, but then the very pro-Democrat Kennedy and Johnson years moderated them back to being a bit less pro-Republican.
The 1960s Liberals were born a bit later than the Eisenhower Republicans and they got to experience the pro-Kennedy and Johnson years in their formative years, but the next 25 years of strongly pro-Republican sentiment brought them to near-neutrality.
One of the most well-known political generations is the Reagan Conservatives. This generation got to experience strong pro-Republican sentiment and they ushered in the real Reagan Revolution: a cohort with strong pro-Republican leanings and little moderation due to the balance of sentiment between Clinton and Bush II, and Obama's nearly neutral sentiment.
Other cohorts like the New Deal Democrats and Millennials have their own biases that follow from the same dynamics, and if you plot them all together, you get a clear picture of the sentiment of the White electorate:
Now do note, I said Whites. This model works slightly better for non-Southern than for Southern Whites, and compared to those two groups, it works less than half as well for non-White minorities.
In any case, this model based on formative year impacts can explain roughly 90% of the variance in vote choices in the electorate. If you want to get people's votes, get them early in life, and you might be able to hold them through waves of less popular candidates from your own party.
In 1983, America's biggest daytime talk show did something that's never happened since.
It spent an hour on a live debate on the DPT shot and vaccine mandates. Injured kids were in the studio, and the host asked what no host would dare ask today:
"Why does it have to be a law? Should we have the freedom to decide?"
🇺🇸 A Red Baron delivery worker went viral after snapping at a social media prankster who pretended to steal $10 from his phone via Apple Pay while he was working.
The father of four broke down over his exhausting schedule and financial struggles, prompting the internet to rally behind him. A GoFundMe has since raised more than $500,000, while Red Baron publicly backed the employee and confirmed his job is safe.
Follow main channel -> LiveLeak
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New York fined private Amish schools $118,000 for refusing vaccine mandates.
Their lawyer says only the Supreme Court can save them now.
BREAKING: Scientists discover 413 security vulnerabilities in connected vehicles that could allow hackers to interfere with critical systems, including steering and braking.
@GeneralMCNews
