We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
📊 There's a popular saying that if you're not a liberal at 20, you have no heart, but if you're not a conservative by 40, you have no brain.
It might be more accurate to imagine that people's formative years have large, persistent impacts on their beliefs. A study by Andy Gelman showed how.
In the Gelman model, high presidential approval during a (White) birth cohort's teen years leads them to favor that president's party for the rest of their lives. Whatever the reason, it's as if they're acting to bring back the 'good old days' of their cognizant childhood. To get an idea of how this looks, look at Eisenhower Republicans:
The Eisenhower Republicans were those who missed most of the FDR years and were socialized in ten straight years of Republicans, of which the Eisenhower years had positive spin. As a result, that cohort became very pro-Republican, but then the very pro-Democrat Kennedy and Johnson years moderated them back to being a bit less pro-Republican.
The 1960s Liberals were born a bit later than the Eisenhower Republicans and they got to experience the pro-Kennedy and Johnson years in their formative years, but the next 25 years of strongly pro-Republican sentiment brought them to near-neutrality.
One of the most well-known political generations is the Reagan Conservatives. This generation got to experience strong pro-Republican sentiment and they ushered in the real Reagan Revolution: a cohort with strong pro-Republican leanings and little moderation due to the balance of sentiment between Clinton and Bush II, and Obama's nearly neutral sentiment.
Other cohorts like the New Deal Democrats and Millennials have their own biases that follow from the same dynamics, and if you plot them all together, you get a clear picture of the sentiment of the White electorate:
Now do note, I said Whites. This model works slightly better for non-Southern than for Southern Whites, and compared to those two groups, it works less than half as well for non-White minorities.
In any case, this model based on formative year impacts can explain roughly 90% of the variance in vote choices in the electorate. If you want to get people's votes, get them early in life, and you might be able to hold them through waves of less popular candidates from your own party.
“Why is this country trying to kill us?”
Major toilet paper brands in America have been found to contain forever chemicals. PFAS cause cancer, hormone disruption and more
Major brands include
- Bounty
- Charmin Ultra Soft Toilet Paper
- Cottonelle
- Quilted Northern
- Scott
- Kirkland Signature (Costco brand)
- Seventh Generation 100% Recycled Bath Tissue
- Tushy Bamboo Toilet Paper
- Who Gives a Crap Bamboo Toilet Paper
- Angel Soft
21 in brands total were found to contain forever chemicals. It should be illegal
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🇿🇦 Police airlift a crocodile with the body of a 59-year-old businessman inside.
Local police in #SouthAfrica say they suspected the crocodile ate the man after observing it from drones. They then shot it and airlifted it off. When they landed back on the ground, the crocodile was sliced open, and human remains were found.
The remains are believed to be those of 59-year-old Gabriel Batista, who had previously been swept away in raging floodwaters. His ring was found inside the animal along with six other pairs of shoes.
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Illinois: Video Shows Palestinian Police Officer Urging Arabs to Flood U.S. Police Departments
A Palestinian police officer in Bridgeview, Illinois is urging the Arab community to flood U.S. police departments in huge numbers. His blunt message “the more the merrier” has now sparked major controversy.
Read the full story here: https://lawenforcementtoday.com/illinoisvideoshowspalestinianpoliceofficerurgingarabstoflooduspolicedepartments
@police_frequency
📢 🇺🇸 🚷 Congressman Andy Ogles on X:
Excited to announce that my 83-page ASSIMILATION Act has been introduced.
Months of labor were undertaken by my staff, Senator Tuberville and myself in order to GUT the Hart-Celler Act of 1965, as well as scrap provisions of the Immigration Act of the 1990s.
The goal of this bill is simple: end replacement migration and ensure American cultural cohesion.
This bill will end the H-1B scam, ensure migrants NEVER become a public charge, and make America look like America again. FYI, net immigration immediately decreases by 85% under this bill.
Some other things it does:
• National Interest Standard
• Stringent Character Tests
• Mandatory E-Verify
• Ends Chain Migration
• Ends Diversity Lottery
• GUTS Birthright Citizenship
• WAY Tougher Asylum Standards
• Stronger Public Charge Rules
• 10 Year Citizenship Requirement
• English & American Civics PROFICIENCY
📎 Rep. Andy Ogles
BREAKING: US data center construction spending jumped +34% YoY in March, to a record $50 billion annualized rate.
Spending on data centers is up +437% since the beginning of 2021, when the annualized rate stood at ~$9 billion.
This is also up +688% since the start of 2018, when the annualized rate was just ~$6 billion.
Meanwhile, office building construction spending fell -9% YoY in March, to $46 billion, the lowest since 2015.
This means that spending on data centers now exceeds office building construction by $4 billion, or +9%.
To put this into perspective, office construction spending exceeded data center spending by $65 billion, or +650%, in 2020.
AI is fundamentally transforming the US economy.
(@TheKobeissiLetter)
