We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Residents in southern Lebanon are receiving a text message that states, "If you are in a building that has Hezbollah weapons, stay away from it until further notice".
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 A Statement released by the IDF in Arabic, calling on Residents across Lebanon to Immediately Evacuate their Homes or any other Location that is near a Site “utilized by Hezbollah”.
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A series of heavy Israeli airstrikes is currently targeting southern Lebanon.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Israeli Army Radio: The Air Force has launched a new round of airstrikes on Lebanon.
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An Israeli airstrike has targeted the town of Habbouch for the first time in this war, in southern Lebanon.
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So far, the following towns have reportedly been targeted in the ongoing round of Israeli airstrikes.
Aitaroun
Maroun Al Ras
Between Rome and Deir al-Zahrani
Pavli
Between Anqoun and Maghdouche
Hula
Majdal Salm
Sultanate
Between Haboush and Kfar Reman
Aita al-Shaab
Between Deir Qanoon and Halousiya
Khiam
Jabshit
Between Ansar and Al-Zarariyya
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Reports indicate civilian casualties in southern Lebanon as a result of the airstrikes.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 The ongoing aggression on southern Lebanon has resulted in an initial toll of 26 injured and 4 martyrs.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Israeli Channel 14: The attacks that Lebanon has witnessed in the past hour have been very large, and this is just the beginning.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Lebanese ministry of Health: 50 martyrs and more than 300 wounded in an initial toll of the Israeli aggression.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 The IDF released a statement calling on the residents of Beqaa to evacuate: “Hezbollah operations force the Israeli Defense Forces to act against terrorist infrastructure in your villages. The Israeli Defense Forces are not targeting any civilian structures unless Hezbollah weapons are found inside homes or on the ground. If such weapons are present, you must evacuate and distance yourselves by at least 1000 meters within the next two hours and head to the central school outside the village or the main road leading away from the village. Any delay will put your safety at serious risk.
Anyone found in the vicinity of Hezbollah’s weapons and equipment during the operations risks the safety of themselves and their families.
The Israeli Defense Forces
This warning is directed to all residents of the Beqaa villages.”
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Lebanese Media: “Since this morning, 3,100 homes have been targeted, and the number of martyrs is higher than reported, but we are awaiting the official announcement.”
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Israeli government spokesperson: Hezbollah must stay away from the Litani River area, which we consider our northern border.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Lebanese ministry of Health: 182 martyrs and 727 wounded in the Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Axios, citing an Israeli defense source: hundreds of cruise missiles were destroyed, and Hezbollah would struggle to respond as many of its missiles had been knocked out.
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🇱🇧 Lebanese Minister of Education announces the Suspension of classes tomorrow in schools and universities across all of Lebanon
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Lebanese ministry of Health: 274 martyrs and 1024 wounded in the Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 Lebanese Minister of Health: Israeli attacks targeted ambulances, medical centers, and convoys of displaced persons.
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🇺🇸 #Oklahoma high school principal (Kirk Moore) seen charging at and disarming a school shooter.
The suspect, identified as 20-year-old Victor Hawkins, was a former student who said he wanted to shoot up the school “like the Columbine shooters did.” While taking down the shooter, Moore was shot in the leg. He is expected to recover.
When the Principal woke up that day, he never thought he would be tackling a gunman.
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🇨🇳🛢 How much strategic oil does the world actually have in reserve?
Global strategic crude oil inventories stood at ~2.5 BILLION barrels as of December 2025, according to the US Energy Information Administration.
China holds by far the largest stockpile at 1,397 million barrels, more than 3 times the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve of 413 million barrels, which itself sits at only 58% of its full storage capacity of 714 million barrels.
China added an average of 1.1 million barrels per day to its strategic inventories throughout 2025, with preliminary data suggesting it continued building stockpiles in early 2026 ahead of the Iran War.
Japan holds the 3rd-largest reserve at 263 million barrels, followed by OECD European countries at 179 million barrels.
Meanwhile, the US is releasing 172 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve to suppress oil prices, part of a broader 400 million barrel coordinated release agreed by 32 IEA member nations in March.
🔗 ...
🛢 JP Morgan Warns Oil Market Out of Balance, Prices Must Rise
🔸The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil flows, has removed 13.7 million barrels per day from global supply in April alone. A JP Morgan research note warns the market has no good way to replace it.
🔸Normally, spare production capacity in Saudi Arabia and the UAE acts as the market’s shock absorber. But that buffer has effectively been removed, eliminating the system’s first line of defense.
🔸With spare capacity unavailable, markets turned to inventories
➤ Global stockpiles are now being drained at ~7.1 mbd in April, an extraordinary pace, according to the note.
🔸Meanwhile, demand is collapsing because supply simply isn’t reaching users — “forced demand destruction.”The hardest hit sectors include:
▪️ Petrochemical plants across Asia are shutting down or slashing output as LPG, ethane, and naphtha flows from the Gulf collapse
▪️ Airline jet fuel ...
🛢⛽️ Global oil inventories are heading toward RECORD LOWS:
Global visible oil inventories have fallen -255 million barrels since the start of the conflict on February 27, to 7,864 million barrels.
Total estimated oil draws, including non-OECD refined products storage, have accelerated to 10.9 million barrels per day in April, the largest monthly draws on record since 2017.
Cumulative estimated draws since the start of the war now stand at 474 million barrels, with Hormuz flows holding at ~10% of normal, or 2.0 million barrels per day.
Meanwhile, even in an optimistic scenario where Strait of Hormuz flows begin recovering by late April, it is unlikely to prevent global visible inventories from reaching all-time lows, according to Goldman Sachs.
As inventories keep falling, physical oil markets are likely to require sharply higher prices for immediate delivery, since buyers cannot wait months for cheaper futures delivery when stocks are running critically low.
Goldman also warns...
