We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
Increases in Illegal Immigration populations in Swing States under the Harris/Biden Administration
The Dems are doing deliberate voter importation to swing states & fast-tracking them to citizenship.
@TEXASvsUSA
🇺🇸🗳⚡️- RN's Midterm Forecast With A Week And A Half To Go 3/3:
Why we think this election will be the first real nail in the coffin for Trumpism.
It has been said so many times it's become a meme, “the walls are closing in” “No way he wiggles out of this jam!” etc. This time it's not a joke, the armor that Trump has had around him for a decade is clearly slipping off.
Trump’s approval by his own 2024 voters continues to rapidly decline, damaged by the nonstop rampant corruption and the Iran War.
Trump approval within the GOP, despite remaining strong on paper, is actually at its lowest since 2015 before he won the 2016 primary. The Iran War in particular has nuked his bedrock fanatical support within the GOP base when looking at not only surveys but also via multiple anecdotes on AM radio talk shows who get callers every day saying they feel betrayed by the war, and that the corruption is becoming unignorable.
GOP activists at the local level are also reporting to their ...
🇺🇸🗳⚡️- RN's Midterm Forecast With A Week And A Half To Go 2/3:
Although we have James Talarico winning in Texas it is still entirely possible that Ken Paxton can win, the early voting numbers have been getting better for the GOP in the state however surveys are showing that a sizable chunk of Republicans in Texas will be voting for Talarico.
Anecdotally on the ground however there are not nearly as many Talarico signs or bumper stickers seen around as there were for Beto O’ Rourke in 2018 which saw the closest a Democrat has come to winning in years.
Even though Trump’s campaign arms and Elon Musk have pumped hundreds of millions of dollars into the election at the 11th hour this spending seems to have not moved the needle in any meaningful way.
However as said before this money going into Get Out The Vote efforts will help the GOP come election day.
🇺🇸🗳⚡️- RN's Midterm Forecast With A Week And A Half To Go 1/3:
Currently Rerum Novarum is forecasting the Midterm results as follows:
House: 240 D - 195 R
Senate: 50 D - 50 R
Governor Races: 26 D - 24 R
As election day rapidly approaches the GOP chances for a comeback quickly are fading to zero. We have expanded our house forecast to Democrats winning 240 seats, however we are now predicting that Susan Collins re-election in Maine will save the GOP majority in the Senate, so long as Vivek Ramaswamy doesn't destroy the entire GOP ticket in Ohio and Iowa splits its vote.
We have also switched the Governors race in Georgia to the GOP as Rick Jackson looks like he will defeat the former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Bottoms. The Democrats however will control the majority of Governorships for the first time in over 16 years.
When analyzing the trends and behavior of both parties we are seeing the GOP deep on defense heavily spending on GOTV efforts in Republican territory in order to stave off a ...
