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November 13, 2024
Forward

I am sharing part of an email I receive from Forwardobserver.com. This may be why things are quiet on the domestic front. Seems they are in the planning stages.


(Good morning. Here’s your Early Warning Briefing for Wednesday, 13 November 2024.


InFocus: “Post Election Mass Call” Summary
Over 200 organizations came together last week for a “post-election mass call” to discuss the way forward for left wing political action and mobilization against the incoming Trump administration.
A reported 140,000 viewers joined the Zoom call while organizers stressed the need to create a multi-racial and multi-lingual workers movement against Trump.
Service Employees International Union (SEIU) President April Verrett called for a re-commitment to organize workplaces, “creating new rules, systems and standards” to expand union power.
Becky Pringle, president of the National Education Association (NEA), vowed to use the NEA’s three million members “in ways we didn’t before,” like reaching out to parents and families to mobilize support for the NEA’s opposition to the Trump administration.
MoveOn Director Rahna Epting said they had been “strategizing for over a year now” on how to combat a Trump administration, adding that they have to leverage political backlash during Trump’s first 100 days in office.
Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-WA) joined the call to stress the need for unity and to avoid fingerpointing over Democrats’ election loss.
Indivisible co-founder Leah Greenberg said she expects the Trump administration to overreach its authority and called for efforts to “build a bigger, stronger coalition to stop MAGA once and for all.”
Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) discussed the drop in support for incumbent leaders around the world, and hinted at using lawfare to target the Trump administration’s voter identification and election integrity initiatives.
Organizers called for an interlocking set to strategic approaches referred to as 4B:
Block: Protect communities, democratic functions, and civil institutions from Trump policies, and then rebuild and fortify a majoritarian pro-democracy coalition.
Break: Weaken pillars of support for the MAGA movement and the Trump administration.
Bridge: Offer a permission structure for parts of the MAGA movement to join the pro-democracy coalition.
Build: Build political and social power to deliver transformative change and move forward into 2028.
Why It Matters: The host characterized post-election conditions as being dangerous due to converging crises at a time when Republicans have sweeping political power in the House, Senate, White House and Supreme Court. Efforts to divide the MAGA movement were a recurring topic, which almost certainly will manifest in information operations and pressure campaigns against key members and policies of the Trump administration. Previous pressure campaigns from 2017-2020 caused dissension inside the Trump administration in order to amplify accusations of chaos and dysfunction. Trump campaign officials have remained adamant that they will be able to correct these mistakes from the last administration. Overall, this organizing meeting showed that dozens of massive political and social groups are coming together behind this “4B” strategy to use political, social, and legal tools to hamper Trump’s legislative priorities.- M.S.

(1) Beltway Rollup:
Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the Biden administration will push “every dollar we have at our disposal” to Ukraine, before President-elect Trump is inaugurated.
Senate Democrats confirmed Judge April Perry to the federal Northern District of Illinois trial court in a 51-44 vote yesterday. (This is an indicator that Senate Democrats will focus on filling federal court vacancies rather than pressuring Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor to retire, and give Biden a Supreme Court pick. Sotomayor has said she will not resign. – R.C.)

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OIL SHOCK

🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz

@CIG_Telegram

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Analysis

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.

Main points:

Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.

Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.

Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.

Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.

Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.

Missiles & drones:

2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.

2 rockets were ...

Oil Prices

OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.

THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.

ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...

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