We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
I am sharing part of an email I receive from Forwardobserver.com. This may be why things are quiet on the domestic front. Seems they are in the planning stages.
(Good morning. Here’s your Early Warning Briefing for Wednesday, 13 November 2024.
InFocus: “Post Election Mass Call” Summary
Over 200 organizations came together last week for a “post-election mass call” to discuss the way forward for left wing political action and mobilization against the incoming Trump administration.
A reported 140,000 viewers joined the Zoom call while organizers stressed the need to create a multi-racial and multi-lingual workers movement against Trump.
Service Employees International Union (SEIU) President April Verrett called for a re-commitment to organize workplaces, “creating new rules, systems and standards” to expand union power.
Becky Pringle, president of the National Education Association (NEA), vowed to use the NEA’s three million members “in ways we didn’t before,” like reaching out to parents and families to mobilize support for the NEA’s opposition to the Trump administration.
MoveOn Director Rahna Epting said they had been “strategizing for over a year now” on how to combat a Trump administration, adding that they have to leverage political backlash during Trump’s first 100 days in office.
Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-WA) joined the call to stress the need for unity and to avoid fingerpointing over Democrats’ election loss.
Indivisible co-founder Leah Greenberg said she expects the Trump administration to overreach its authority and called for efforts to “build a bigger, stronger coalition to stop MAGA once and for all.”
Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) discussed the drop in support for incumbent leaders around the world, and hinted at using lawfare to target the Trump administration’s voter identification and election integrity initiatives.
Organizers called for an interlocking set to strategic approaches referred to as 4B:
Block: Protect communities, democratic functions, and civil institutions from Trump policies, and then rebuild and fortify a majoritarian pro-democracy coalition.
Break: Weaken pillars of support for the MAGA movement and the Trump administration.
Bridge: Offer a permission structure for parts of the MAGA movement to join the pro-democracy coalition.
Build: Build political and social power to deliver transformative change and move forward into 2028.
Why It Matters: The host characterized post-election conditions as being dangerous due to converging crises at a time when Republicans have sweeping political power in the House, Senate, White House and Supreme Court. Efforts to divide the MAGA movement were a recurring topic, which almost certainly will manifest in information operations and pressure campaigns against key members and policies of the Trump administration. Previous pressure campaigns from 2017-2020 caused dissension inside the Trump administration in order to amplify accusations of chaos and dysfunction. Trump campaign officials have remained adamant that they will be able to correct these mistakes from the last administration. Overall, this organizing meeting showed that dozens of massive political and social groups are coming together behind this “4B” strategy to use political, social, and legal tools to hamper Trump’s legislative priorities.- M.S.
(1) Beltway Rollup:
Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the Biden administration will push “every dollar we have at our disposal” to Ukraine, before President-elect Trump is inaugurated.
Senate Democrats confirmed Judge April Perry to the federal Northern District of Illinois trial court in a 51-44 vote yesterday. (This is an indicator that Senate Democrats will focus on filling federal court vacancies rather than pressuring Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor to retire, and give Biden a Supreme Court pick. Sotomayor has said she will not resign. – R.C.)
🇺🇸 #Oklahoma high school principal (Kirk Moore) seen charging at and disarming a school shooter.
The suspect, identified as 20-year-old Victor Hawkins, was a former student who said he wanted to shoot up the school “like the Columbine shooters did.” While taking down the shooter, Moore was shot in the leg. He is expected to recover.
When the Principal woke up that day, he never thought he would be tackling a gunman.
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🇨🇳🛢 How much strategic oil does the world actually have in reserve?
Global strategic crude oil inventories stood at ~2.5 BILLION barrels as of December 2025, according to the US Energy Information Administration.
China holds by far the largest stockpile at 1,397 million barrels, more than 3 times the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve of 413 million barrels, which itself sits at only 58% of its full storage capacity of 714 million barrels.
China added an average of 1.1 million barrels per day to its strategic inventories throughout 2025, with preliminary data suggesting it continued building stockpiles in early 2026 ahead of the Iran War.
Japan holds the 3rd-largest reserve at 263 million barrels, followed by OECD European countries at 179 million barrels.
Meanwhile, the US is releasing 172 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve to suppress oil prices, part of a broader 400 million barrel coordinated release agreed by 32 IEA member nations in March.
🔗 ...
🛢 JP Morgan Warns Oil Market Out of Balance, Prices Must Rise
🔸The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil flows, has removed 13.7 million barrels per day from global supply in April alone. A JP Morgan research note warns the market has no good way to replace it.
🔸Normally, spare production capacity in Saudi Arabia and the UAE acts as the market’s shock absorber. But that buffer has effectively been removed, eliminating the system’s first line of defense.
🔸With spare capacity unavailable, markets turned to inventories
➤ Global stockpiles are now being drained at ~7.1 mbd in April, an extraordinary pace, according to the note.
🔸Meanwhile, demand is collapsing because supply simply isn’t reaching users — “forced demand destruction.”The hardest hit sectors include:
▪️ Petrochemical plants across Asia are shutting down or slashing output as LPG, ethane, and naphtha flows from the Gulf collapse
▪️ Airline jet fuel ...
🛢⛽️ Global oil inventories are heading toward RECORD LOWS:
Global visible oil inventories have fallen -255 million barrels since the start of the conflict on February 27, to 7,864 million barrels.
Total estimated oil draws, including non-OECD refined products storage, have accelerated to 10.9 million barrels per day in April, the largest monthly draws on record since 2017.
Cumulative estimated draws since the start of the war now stand at 474 million barrels, with Hormuz flows holding at ~10% of normal, or 2.0 million barrels per day.
Meanwhile, even in an optimistic scenario where Strait of Hormuz flows begin recovering by late April, it is unlikely to prevent global visible inventories from reaching all-time lows, according to Goldman Sachs.
As inventories keep falling, physical oil markets are likely to require sharply higher prices for immediate delivery, since buyers cannot wait months for cheaper futures delivery when stocks are running critically low.
Goldman also warns...
