🇷🇺🇺🇦 "I see an inventory for 8-10 years of war or even more.
If anyone is expecting a Russian defeat due to high equipment losses, it’s unlikely to happen in the next 8-10 years or maybe more.
(Another question are the manufacture of parts like gun barrels and others. )
After three years of war, almost 50% of the Soviet stockpiles are still available, plus what is being repaired, refurbished, and modernized in Russian plants. Additionally, around 12,000–15,000 armored units, including artillery, armored vehicles, and tanks, are deployed in Ukraine. This represents a significant amount of equipment and the capacity to sustain this conflict for several years.
Contrary to what some might think, when an army is advancing, it benefits from collecting damaged and destroyed equipment to repair. This advantage is unique to an advancing army because a retreating force cannot recover anything in territory occupied by the enemy.
In areas where the front has been almost frozen over the last year and several months this year, the Ukrainians have been able to collect and repair most of their armor. However, as I reported in my previous articles, Western logistics have been challenging, with these vehicles having to travel more than 2,500 km for repairs, taking many months. In contrast, the Russians moved their repair centers from rear areas to near the front at the end of 2022. This exemplifies how Russian planning has been a key differentiator in this war.
Another issue is the unavailability of repair parts for Western equipment. According to the Ukrainian army, 70% of the delivered equipment lacks repair parts or has only a limited supply, and part requisitions have taken up to six months in some cases.
What I want to emphasize is that it is pure fantasy to expect to win this war by destroying the Russian armor arsenal. Despite losing more than they replace, the Russians are advancing and winning all key battles from the past two years.
What can Ukraine do under these circumstances?
Unfortunately, the only option is to negotiate. However, the West has important assets to negotiate with, such as Russian reserves and sanctions, with the intention of reducing unavoidable land concessions.
But negotiation is a cursed word for some politicians, so they are working to convince Western leaders to deploy an international peace force in Ukraine.
Ukraine need to find ways to advance diplomatically and reach it’s objectives. Sometimes the power sphere isn’t the military power."
📎 Patricia Marins
It's easy to mock this guy, laugh at him, say it's always Gingers etc.
However why are we not asking why, as a society, young men are making life choices like this?
Same as anyone who chooses to go against our natural order with how they live.
Something has gone badly wrong.
“Oregon is using satellites to hunt small farms.”
Farmer Justin Rhodes says the state redefined “CAFO” so even 3 cows and a milking stand count as a factory farm.
Cease-and-desist letters. $100K “upgrades.” Family farms shut down.
Follow @zeeemedia
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“The fetal bovine serum is just disgusting, and it’s in almost every viral vaccine. They harvest it by inserting a needle into the beating heart of a baby cow to extract its blood. Where is PETA when you need them? The FDA even admits they use ‘cow parts’ because cows are large and have a lot to use.”
@NoAgendaLara
🌊🌎 Climate scientists’ controversial claim Gulf Stream could be near collapse — predicting a new ice age
A key Atlantic current could be pushed to the brink of collapse within decades, supposedly ushering in a new ice age and dramatically raising sea levels, climate scientists have claimed in a controversial new study published in the journal Communications Earth & Environment.
Per the new findings, the at-risk current in question is the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation or AMOC, a “conveyor belt of the ocean” that funnels warm water toward the ocean surface — from the tropics to the Northern Hemisphere.
This current, which includes the Gulf Stream that runs from the Gulf of Mexico to the US East Coast and across the Atlantic to Europe, helps maintain the mild climate of Europe, the UK, and the US East Coast.
The study stated that the source of this marine temperature regulator, the Greenland Ice sheet, is being thawed amid warming temperatures, causing ...