We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
🇷🇺🇺🇦 "I see an inventory for 8-10 years of war or even more.
If anyone is expecting a Russian defeat due to high equipment losses, it’s unlikely to happen in the next 8-10 years or maybe more.
(Another question are the manufacture of parts like gun barrels and others. )
After three years of war, almost 50% of the Soviet stockpiles are still available, plus what is being repaired, refurbished, and modernized in Russian plants. Additionally, around 12,000–15,000 armored units, including artillery, armored vehicles, and tanks, are deployed in Ukraine. This represents a significant amount of equipment and the capacity to sustain this conflict for several years.
Contrary to what some might think, when an army is advancing, it benefits from collecting damaged and destroyed equipment to repair. This advantage is unique to an advancing army because a retreating force cannot recover anything in territory occupied by the enemy.
In areas where the front has been almost frozen over the last year and several months this year, the Ukrainians have been able to collect and repair most of their armor. However, as I reported in my previous articles, Western logistics have been challenging, with these vehicles having to travel more than 2,500 km for repairs, taking many months. In contrast, the Russians moved their repair centers from rear areas to near the front at the end of 2022. This exemplifies how Russian planning has been a key differentiator in this war.
Another issue is the unavailability of repair parts for Western equipment. According to the Ukrainian army, 70% of the delivered equipment lacks repair parts or has only a limited supply, and part requisitions have taken up to six months in some cases.
What I want to emphasize is that it is pure fantasy to expect to win this war by destroying the Russian armor arsenal. Despite losing more than they replace, the Russians are advancing and winning all key battles from the past two years.
What can Ukraine do under these circumstances?
Unfortunately, the only option is to negotiate. However, the West has important assets to negotiate with, such as Russian reserves and sanctions, with the intention of reducing unavoidable land concessions.
But negotiation is a cursed word for some politicians, so they are working to convince Western leaders to deploy an international peace force in Ukraine.
Ukraine need to find ways to advance diplomatically and reach it’s objectives. Sometimes the power sphere isn’t the military power."
📎 Patricia Marins
Humanitarian lawyer and ex-aid worker Andrew MacLeod exposes the involvement of UN security staff in the sex trafficking of young girls, who were kept in cages and abused as sex slaves, with the full knowledge of the UN's leadership.
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Dr. David Martin: "Remdesivir was too unethical to put into Ebola clinical trials in Africa because it had a 53% kill rate."
"But it was chosen in April and May of 2020 to be the drug of choice to treat Covid... despite the fact that the World Health Organisation said it was unethical to use it."
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Serious allegations from former CIA officer Larry Johnson about Senator Lindsey Graham: “There will be news coming out in the next couple of months about how he has profited financially off of money that came out of Ukraine, laundered through Latvia and made it way into his bank account. And now we're talking significant amounts of money. Department of justice is looking at it.”
🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz
@CIG_Telegram
Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.
Main points:
Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.
Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.
Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.
Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.
Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.
Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.
Missiles & drones:
2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.
2 rockets were ...
OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS
📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.
THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.
ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...
