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December 21, 2024
D O G E

💸 Luke Gromen on X:

"Why DOGE doing what Milei did in Argentina in the US will NOT lead to a decline in US deficit/GDP, but a catastrophic BLOWOUT in US deficit/GDP unless US debt/GDP (USD) is significantly devalued 1st (b/c US receipts follow stocks, & deficits rise fast w/rates at 125% of GDP):

If we want to cut Entitlements + Defense to reduce the deficit/GDP, only to end up with higher deficit/GDP by the end of 2025 as stocks fall hard & rates spike on strong USD (see Wed's post-Fed market action), then we should do what Milei did in Argentina before devaluing USD

US receipts fall when rates rise. US outlays rise nonlinearly when rates rise with $36T in in debt. And US receipts fall when stocks fall

The US govt allowed this system to evolve, now they are getting the system they wanted, good and hard.

If I wanted to ensure that the US deficit/GDP was a multiple of where it is today in 12 months' time, I'd slash govt spending before devaluing US debt/GDP (the USD.)

If I wanted to position the US fiscal position for growth, I'd devalue debt/GDP 1st (USD), then "DOGE"."

📎 Luke Gromen

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 — Ground clashes are occuring between IRGC soldiers and American CSAR troops. American soldiers are inside Iran.

@GeoPWatch

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⚡🇺🇸 Rumors have emerged that President Trump is in the hospital as all roads leading to Walter Reed Medical Center have been cordoned off and a "lid" has been called today by the White House, meaning Trump won't appear in public.

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@medmannews

Full Report Tonight

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 - WAR IN IRAN | APRIL 3rd, DAY 35 RECAP:

🇮🇷🇰🇼 - Iran has struck the Mina Al-Ahmadi refinery in Kuwait. Multiple fires have been reported.

🇱🇧🇮🇱 - “The disarmament of Hezbollah is not one of the objectives of the IDF’s fighting in Lebanon at this stage,” the IDF said.

🇮🇷🇰🇼 - Iran has struck a Kuwaiti power and desalination plant, causing damage, according to the Kuwait Ministry of Electricity.

🇮🇷🇦🇪 - Habshan gas facilities in Abu Dhabi have temporarily suspended operations after a fire broke out due to an Iranian attack.

🇫🇷🇮🇷 - A French-owned cargo ship crossed the Strait of Hormuz earlier this morning. It was broadcasting its position and planned route openly and encountered no incident.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - A U.S. F-15 fighter jet was shot down over southwestern Iran. One pilot has been rescued, while the second is still missing, according to the Pentagon.

🇮🇷🇶🇦🇵🇰 - “In a dramatic turn of ...

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