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December 21, 2024
D O G E

💸 Luke Gromen on X:

"Why DOGE doing what Milei did in Argentina in the US will NOT lead to a decline in US deficit/GDP, but a catastrophic BLOWOUT in US deficit/GDP unless US debt/GDP (USD) is significantly devalued 1st (b/c US receipts follow stocks, & deficits rise fast w/rates at 125% of GDP):

If we want to cut Entitlements + Defense to reduce the deficit/GDP, only to end up with higher deficit/GDP by the end of 2025 as stocks fall hard & rates spike on strong USD (see Wed's post-Fed market action), then we should do what Milei did in Argentina before devaluing USD

US receipts fall when rates rise. US outlays rise nonlinearly when rates rise with $36T in in debt. And US receipts fall when stocks fall

The US govt allowed this system to evolve, now they are getting the system they wanted, good and hard.

If I wanted to ensure that the US deficit/GDP was a multiple of where it is today in 12 months' time, I'd slash govt spending before devaluing US debt/GDP (the USD.)

If I wanted to position the US fiscal position for growth, I'd devalue debt/GDP 1st (USD), then "DOGE"."

📎 Luke Gromen

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December 25, 2025
A Christmas Message from PrepperNow!
00:10:29
Birth Tourism
00:01:53
This is gross.

Speaking at the WEF, Savor CEO Kathleen Alexander boasts about how her company is "saving the planet" from the evils of agriculture by replacing real butters and oils with synthetic versions made from carbon dioxide and methane. 😳

"Savor is part of bringing transformation to the food system by re-imagining how we make an entire macronutrient—fats and oils."

"The result is that we can dramatically lower the planetary footprint of our food system."

"Our food system today uses about 50% of the habitable land on the planet. It's 20-30% of our greenhouse gas emissions."

"And we can reduce all of those by 50-100%."

Source

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00:01:20
Duh Markets

🌆 Market News Digest
[July 3, 2026 EST]

🔥 Top Stories
• Middle East risk flares — IDF hits Hezbollah sites in south Lebanon; Houthis threaten Saudi assets; France deploys naval/mine-countermeasure assets near Hormuz.
• U.S. oil market scrutiny — DOJ/FTC say they’re monitoring crude for price-fixing/collusion as Brent settles at $72.12/bbl.
• Trump pardons saga — Trump signs pardons for six and faces fresh scrutiny after NBC reported undisclosed stock purchases before tariff pause.

⛽ Oil & Energy
• Gulf crude exports topped 10M bpd in June but remain ~40% below pre-conflict levels; Fitch flags ongoing Iran/Mideast risk to corporates and oil forecasts.
• CMA CGM warns Hormuz transit charges would be “devastating”; Airbus says defense cooperation remains pressured.

📊 Markets & Macro
• Germany’s 2027 draft budget lifts borrowing to €203.7B and spending to €555.4B; euro equities firm with DAX +0.85%.
• ECB/BoE message: inflation still the focus, but Bailey says UK ...

Defeat

🇮🇷🏆🇺🇸 Iran Is a Bigger Defeat Than Vietnam | Foreign Policy

At his second inaugural, U.S. President Donald Trump pronounced his hope “that our recent presidential election will be remembered as the greatest and most consequential election in the history of our country.” By losing his Gulf war, Trump has achieved that goal. His choice to launch a campaign against Iran was encouraged by others, but fully his own. It has led to a reversal that marks a strategic calamity far greater than the U.S. defeat in the Vietnam War.

Defeat in the Iranian war looks, on the surface, nothing like other U.S. military defeats. The speed of the war and its remoteness have lent an air of unreality to the whole endeavor. The White House has not been burned, as it was in 1814; there have not been protests against a nonexistent draft. The absence of substantial U.S. casualties in this conflict also masks the scale of the U.S. defeat. To be sure, the war has been deadly: Thousands of Iranians, ...

The Path to War

According to The Wall Street Journal, Donald Trump reviewed military options for a full-scale war against Iran to “finish the job,” but has decided, for now, not to move forward.

The report says Trump is concerned that renewed military conflict could hurt the chances of a diplomatic resolution and of dismantling Iran’s nuclear program, and that he’s shown willingness to let indirect talks in Qatar run past the August 18 deadline. He is said to be fine with continuing limited strikes on Iranian targets if Tehran violates the current temporary deal - as it already has, repeatedly.

How are those negotiations going?

Not well. It seems JD Vance’s “historic” face-to-face achievement was a one-off. Washington has been quietly downgraded from talking to the Great Satan to negotiating with the Little Satan instead - a senior Qatari official confirmed that U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Qatari officials in Doha, but there are currently no high-level U.S.-Iran meetings ...

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