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BANDAR ABBAS

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TASNIM: MANY BUILDINGS WERE DAMAGED AND SEVERAL CARS WERE DESTROYED IN THE EXPLOSION AREA AT RAJAEE PORT IN BANDAR ABBAS. ...
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—❗️🇮🇷 BREAKING: A large explosion has rocked Shahid Rajaei Port near the city of Bandar Abbas in southern Iran, with 516 injuries reported, some of them severe

No deaths have yet been recorded, and investigators on the scene state that the explosion is likely the result of improper storage of highly flammable chemicals, such as ammonium nitrate, used as fertilizer.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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❗️The number of casualties from the explosion at the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas has risen to 516, Iranian media report.

At least 4 people were killed in an explosion at the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas, according to the head of the Iranian rescue service.

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— 🇮🇷 NEW: People are lining up outside of hospitals in Bandar Abbas and areas surrounding the blast site to donate blood

@Middle_East_Spectator
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#BREAKING | Iranian Red Crescent says at least 4 killed in Bandar Abbas port explosion

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🇮🇷💥📹 — Iranian Regime media shows parts of the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas have been entirely destroyed.

It follows this morning’s explosion on the shores of the Persian Gulf.

Footage of the port shows a number of warehouses as well as other buildings having suffered significant damage, while firefighting and search-and-rescue operations continue.
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Fires in Bandar Abbas on NASA satellite

Following the explosion of several containers at the Shahid Rajaee pier in Bandar Abbas and the resulting fire, five Red Crescent helicopters were dispatched to Bandar Abbas to assist in extinguishing the fire from the air
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⚠️This is how it started:
Footage captures the initial explosion in Bandar Abbas, southwest Iran.

UPDATE: The fire at Shahid Rajaee Port was reportedly caused by the infiltration of chemical compounds from China into Iran.
Sources say Iran planned to use these materials to produce solid fuel for advanced ballistic missiles like the Khyber Shekan and Fateh systems.
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🇮🇷💥📹 — The closest footage shared so far have shows the moments leading up to this morning’s explosion at the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas in Southern Iran

On video, orange smoke, likely nitrogen dioxide, being produced by a fire interacting with a still unknown chemical can be seen right before the explosion takes place

Iranian journalists claimed that the holder of the cellphone filming died, but so far it wasnt confirmed

The chemical materials that would produce such smoke as well as the blast include:

Ammonium nitrate - NH₄NO₃
Dinitrogen tetroxide - N₂O₄
Nitric acid - HNO3
Sodium perchlorate (NaClO₄)

All of which are likely to have been stored at Bandar Abbas.

Interesting to note that Bandar Abbas Port was claimed to have received a cargo of Rocket solid fuel from Communist China's Zhuhai Gaolan port

Sodium perchlorate (NaClO₄) specially is used to make Ammonium perchlorate (NH4CIO4)

Iranian BMs and Rockets often use Ammonium perchlorate (NH₄ClO₄), alongside PBAN (Polybutadiene Acrylic Acid Acrylonitrile) and HTPB (Hydroxyl-Terminated Polybutadiene), whose materials aforementioned could be used to manufacture such.

As noted by netizens, the explosion on this Iranian port ressembles a lot the Beirut Port explosion of August 4, 2020 when 2750 tonned of ammonium nitrate detonated due to poor storage, causing 218 deaths, over 6,000 injuries, and displaced around 300,000 people, with damages estimated at US$15 billion, 31% of Lebanese GDP back then
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OIL SHOCK

🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz

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Analysis

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.

Main points:

Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.

Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.

Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.

Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.

Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.

Missiles & drones:

2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.

2 rockets were ...

Oil Prices

OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.

THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.

ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...

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