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šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡øšŸ›”šŸ‡®šŸ‡± U.S. Races to Defend Israel as It Burns Through Missile Interceptors — WSJ

Short supplies of high-end defenses could lead to rationing as Iranian attacks continue

The U.S. is racing to reinforce Israel’s defenses, sending more warships capable of shooting down ballistic missiles to the region as Iranian attacks drain Israel’s stocks of interceptors.

An additional U.S. Navy destroyer arrived in the eastern Mediterranean on Friday, joining three others in the area and two in the Red Sea. The ships are operating close enough to Israel to be able to intercept missiles fired by Iran, a defense official said.

Most of the U.S.’s Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyers are armed with a range of interceptors, known as SM-2, SM-3 and SM-6, that can shoot down ballistic missiles and other aerial threats. SM-3s, first used in combat last year to counter an Iranian attack, are designed to intercept missiles above the atmosphere in the middle of their flight paths.

The U.S. has also replenished stocks of ground-based interceptors for the Thaad antimissile system it set up in Israel last year.

The surge of seaborne- and ground-based missile defenses underscores the concerns about Israel’s dwindling supplies of the armaments. Israel risks exhausting its supply of high-end Arrow 3 interceptors in the coming weeks if its conflict with Iran isn’t resolved and Tehran continues to launch volleys of missiles, a U.S. official said.

The Arrow 3 is the crown jewel, designed to intercept missiles above the Earth’s atmosphere. It can neutralize threats before they cross into Israeli airspace and give other systems time to act if the first shot misses.

Israel’s armed forces also declined to comment on interceptor stockpiles, but said the military is ready to handle any scenario.

Tehran has continued to fire volleys of missiles at Israeli population centers. If Iran keeps up its attacks, Israel in the coming days might be forced to make difficult decisions about husbanding its resources and giving priority to which missiles to intercept,

The U.S. is facing its own concerns about supplies of interceptors. Supplies diverted to the conflict in the Middle East are coming at the expense of those available in the event of a bigger conflict with China.

The U.S. might also face tough decisions about how many interceptors to exhaust if the fighting drags on. It rushed missile defenses to its Persian Gulf partners after the Hamas-led Oct. 7, 2023, attacks on Israel kicked off what would become more than a year and a half of war.

Those defenses are politically and militarily important. Gulf countries have pressed the U.S. to take a more active role in their defense, and Iran has threatened to hit American bases in the Gulf and elsewhere in the region if the U.S. joins Israel in the attack.

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00:01:18
Something Is Up

āš”āš”šŸ‡¶šŸ‡¦ Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar Evacuated of US Aircraft

A major air base in the Middle East used by the US military saw a large number of aircraft normally stationed on its runway this week.

Al Udeid Air Base, located outside the Qatari capital of Doha, is the forward headquarters of US Central Command and is often filled with transport aircraft, fighter jets, and drones.

A satellite image taken Wednesday by Planet Labs PBC and analyzed by The Associated Press shows the base's runway appearing unusually empty.

The US military has not yet officially acknowledged the change, but the move follows a similar deployment of ships from the US Navy's Fifth Fleet to the Bahrain base, a military strategy aimed at reducing the risk of aircraft and warships being destroyed in the event of a surprise attack.

@medmannews

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āš ļøā˜¢ļø CIA: Iran ā€œliterally a meter awayā€ from nuclear weapon

ā‰ļøšŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø With the White House making conflicting statements, many are asking "what the fuck is going on." Trust us, we want to know too.

Is this a high-stakes poker game or a clear march to nuclear war? On the one hand, Trump’s two-week delay might be a strategic move — giving Iran a window to negotiate before adecisive strike; on the other, it could give Iran the green light to complete the bomb, as the White House itself admits — which could be the go-ahead for a nuclear war.

One thing is clear: Trump is balancing on the edge, trying not to go down in History as the Last President of the #USA.

Meanwhile, Republican voters writ large would support the US government launching strikes on Iran by 58% to 25%, with 17% neutral or unsure, per the poll.

Ā«CIA Director Ric Grenell told a closed-door congressional hearing that Iran is ā€œliterally a meter awayā€ from possessing a nuclear weapon, emphasizing the urgency...

Use Nukes?

Could the U.S. Use Tactical Nukes on Iran’s Fordow Site?

It’s possible — but nearly unthinkable.

Fordow, Iran’s underground nuclear facility buried under 80 meters of rock, is designed to withstand conventional strikes.

While the U.S. has powerful bunker-busters like the GBU-57 MOP, doubts remain about their ability to fully destroy Fordow.

That’s why some mention tactical nuclear weapons, such as the B61-12, as a last-resort option.

These bombs can be tuned to specific yields and potentially collapse deep underground bunkers.

But the consequences would be massive:
Global backlash and isolation for the U.S.
Humanitarian disaster from fallout.
A new nuclear arms race.

Technically, the U.S. could do it. Politically and morally, it’s almost impossible.

For now, the idea remains theoretical — a capability that’s highly unlikely to be used.

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