We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
"Ceasefire / Assessment
a) Israel:
1. Every time Israel has relied on the stupidity of the "Palestinians" it has worked. Historically.
2. It is better to bet on the "Palestinian" ineptness than to bet on conflicts with the superpowers.
3. Israel is still at war and has never gone "all out" on all arenas at once and this has paid off.
Note: It is not to be ruled out that there is preparation for an Israeli invasion of southern Lebanon due to Hezbollah's refusal to disarm, perhaps the completion of the work against the remnants of Iran, or a diplomatic process to complete the Abraham Accords.
B) The struggle against the PA
1. Historically, there is no "Palestinian establishment" that can make operational decisions or accommodate concessions. Hence, the Israeli gamble always pays off from 1948 until the Bar-Ilan speech (Netanyahu accepting the idea of a Palestinian State in the Obama era - JP)
2. Hamas cannot accommodate "disarmament" because then it will be slaughtered, as it slaughtered Fatah after the disengagement (Israek's one-sided retreat from Gaza in 2005 - JP).
C) Trump and the US:
1. Trump is a leader who knows how to tear trade and nuclear agreements to pieces.
2. Trump has already led political processes that ended differently, such as the "Deal of the Century" that ended with the Abraham Accords or the "Negotiations with Iran" that ended with the bombing of Iran, and of course the endless talks and flick-flacking between Russia and Ukraine.
3. Trump tends to humiliate himself in front of the "other side" until the other side - Russia, Iran, Europe: makes a mistake and gets caught up in it. This is a simplistic negotiation strategy that the global political world simply refuses to accept.
4. Trump has more important goals and may want peace in this arena. I remind you that the world is still in a war of superpowers and trade. There are also personal circumstances such as the Nobel Peace Prize.
D) The agreement on a practical level:
The return of the hostages is the only element in the agreement that can be executed on an immediate and practical level. All the other parts - will take months if not years to implement. Disarming organizations, reconstruction, establishing a "technocratic government".
Try it in Iraq, Afghanistan, Judea and Samaria in the Oslo Accords - "artificial regimes" are always a failure and in the end blood runs in the streets.
The Arab/Muslim world has never created a practical political or military operation and managed to maintain it.
This agreement, except for the return of the hostages - if to put it somewhat bluntly - is Western nonsense that has already been tried in various versions in countless places in the Middle East.
Israel will not be tested by a single agreement or a micro-event in the war: but by whether it derives maximum profit in relation to the situation.
Israel's decision-making set should also always be with the practical dimension as the supreme one.
And time will judge that.
Just as there were days of ceasefires, there were days of bombings in Iran.
I see no reason to get excited one way or the other. The sky is not falling except on the issue of the hostages. Military power is supreme - not fragile political power.
Hence, patience."
(Topaz Ram)
Police in Winona Minnesota are stunned after every single one of their Flock cameras were suddenly removed in a single night.
According to the police department, all 8 of the town's cameras were cut down and hauled away.
Police are asking for the public's help to identify the individual, but the public has been responding with comments such as:
"The Flock cameras tore themselves down"
"Whoever did it, was fishing with me"
"Whoever it was, was at Bible study with me"
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Nearly 20,000 people are publicly vouching for a man accused of cutting down Flock cameras in a small West Virginia town.
People commented:
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"He was saving my neighbor's dog from a fire all day, couldn't be him."
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"This man is innocent. I saw him serving at a soup kitchen."
-"Couldn't be him. He was helping me replace the roof on a homeless shelter."
The man, Wesley Jackson, has pleaded Not Guilty.
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US diesel crack surpasses $100 a barrel for the first time on supply disruptions
... and the supply of refined fuels is already nearly exhausted. A hard landing is visible ahead, for farmers, for trucking, and ... well, for everything that requires food (people) and energy (the entire economy).
These are very likely the final days of relative normalcy during which to prepare. Get ready.
🌾 🌍 🚜 JPMorgan warns a massive global food supply crisis could begin next year as fertilizer shortages tighten agricultural supply.
JPMorgan is the latest institutional research desk to warn that the next global food crisis may already be taking shape, driven by what its analysts describe as the "Five Ws": War, Weather, Warehousing, Water, and Waste.
In a new report titled Food Security Is National Security: A Compounding Storm, a team led by London-based senior global economist Nora Szentivanyi warned that disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz and the emergence of a potentially historic El Niño could weaken crop yields, constrain agricultural production, and keep food inflation elevated through the first half of 2027.
"Successive shocks since COVID have compounded, eroding food production capacity and keeping food price pressures elevated into 2027," Szentivanyi said, warning that "this is not a short-lived shock; it has reduced the likelihood of near-term disinflation, and the food ...
