📉 🤖 OpenAI is 'falling apart in real time' — and the worst is yet to come
Veteran investors George Noble and Michael Burry warn on X that all the signs of an OpenAI implosion are already visible — and the trend is only gaining speed.
What do they mean?
😵 Struggling AI chatbot
♦️ Noble says OpenAI declared “Code Red” in December as Google’s Gemini surged ahead
♦️ ChatGPT traffic fell in November — the second month-over-month drop of 2025 — while Gemini jumped to 650 million users
♦️ Reports say OpenAI’s major 2025 training runs failed to outperform earlier models
♦️ GPT-5 flopped. Users demanded GPT-4o back — and OpenAI restored it within 24 hours
♦️ “The company that was supposed to build AGI can’t even keep its chatbot competitive,” the Wall Street veteran says
🤑 It’s all about money
🔴 OpenAI reportedly lost $12 billion in a single quarter
🔴 Deutsche Bank projects $143 billion in cumulative losses before profitability
🔴 The bank’s blunt verdict:
“No startup in history has ever operated with losses on anything approaching this scale”
🔴 Noble adds that “It’s going to cost 5x the energy and money to make their models 2x better”
😱 When it rains, it pours
Musk’s lawsuit against OpenAI boss Sam Altman and Microsoft heads to trial in 2026 — with up to $134 billion in damages over claims OpenAI betrayed its NGO mission for profit
💭 The AI bubble problem
Burry — a long-time critic of the AI bubble — warns it won’t end with OpenAI:
“The government will pull out all the stops to save the AI bubble to save the market to save the economy,” he says. “The problem is too big to save — by that very same definition.”
🛢📈 — Reuters reports that oil is approaching $100 per barrel following the latest exchange of attacks between Americans and Iranians on oil tankers.
▶️The price of Brent crude has risen to $97.07 per barrel, while American WTI crude has risen to $92.28. In the past week, Brent has risen by 7.8%, while WTI has risen by nearly 10%.
▶️On Saturday, U.S. forces attacked three Iranian oil tankers, one of which was stationed near the island of Kharg, a key center for Iranian oil exports. In response, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced attacks on three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and three more U.S. ships.
▶️In this context, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has sharply declined. Over the past 10 days, an average of only 10 cargo ships have transited the strait per day – the lowest level since May.
The WHO now states on its website:
Vaccination against COVID-19 can trigger multiple sclerosis through cross-reactive CD4+-T cells that recognize the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 and myelin peptides.
In other words: Your own immune system destroys the nerve pathways and then attacks your brain and spinal cord.