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🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷 Logistical Analysis: US Airlifts to Mideast
How bigly is the airlift to Mideast? How many tons did 250–265 flights deliver? Bar napkin calculations
Assumptions: sources differ on totals (250 to 265 flights); using 257 average (≈31 C-5 & ≈198 C-17 flights). Long haul flights (accounting for weight of fuel): C-5: 100,000kg cargo load and C-17: 60,000kg. C-5 is for oversized equipment (THAAD batteries,AN/TPY-2 radar, Patriots, etc.); C-17 is for ordnance, jet support stuff (parts, etc.).
Total weight delivered: ≈14.58 million kg, or ≈14,580 metric tons (say, 15,000mt).
Fun fact: US military sealift ship (e.g., Bob Hope class), can carry 25,000 to 35,000mt; merchant bulk carrier, 50,000mt to 80,000mt; container ship, 50,000mt to 150,000mt. A fraction of Bob Hope class delivered.
Deliveries
Muwaffaq Salti (Jordan)
C-5: 8 flights
C-17: 139 flights
Weight (est.): 8,740,000kg (8,740 tons)
Prince Sultan (KSA)
C-5 : 13
C-17: 12
Weight (est.): 2,020,000kg (2,020 tons)
al-Udayd (Qatar)
C-5: 2
C-17: 16
Weight (est.): 1,160,000kg (1,160mt)
Ali al-Salem (Kuwait)
C-5: 2
C-17: 16
Weight (est.): 1,160,000kg (1,160mt)
Misc (Bahrain, Diego Garcia, etc.)
C-5: 4
C-17: 21
Weight (est.): 1,660,000kg (1,660mt)
Analysis
Muwaffaq Salti is the primary launch point for the war on Iran. Hence delivery of ≈58% of 15,000mt to MS. 70+ attack aircraft are parked at MS, incl. SEAD aircraft.
The number of cargo flights is impressive but overall weight says otherwise. For e.g., one THAAD battery (inclusive of 6 x 8 launchers, AN/TPY-2 radar, gear, etc.) ≈400mt. Each “Talon” interceptor ≈900kg. One Patriot battery (inclusive of components but exclusive of interceptors) ≈300mt. Each PAC-2 ≈900kg; PAC-3 >310kg; PAC-3 MSE >370kg. Details are classified; these are conservative estimates from open sources.
Quantities delivered + existing stocks unlikely to sustain the “long war” that DOD is threatening. If I can make these estimates, Iranian intel has done better. Moreover, they have access to images and SIGINT from Chinese MILSATs and dual-use sats; they can figure out what was unloaded, where stored, emplacements, etc.
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I want you to know my husband works for one of the largest trucking companies in the country driving heavy haul. He delivers feed to all the chickens out here in the pacific nw. Up and down Wa and Or. He will not be participating in the protest 10/1 due to the fact that he is company and this job was hard to find. He feels diesel is going up in a very bad way. That’s the word with the truckers. If things continue the way they are it may be $8-10 a gallon in ten days. They are trying to break us. His company subsides the diesel through the government so they don’t feel the effect except when seeing the pumps. He feels that they will be affected heavily by the end of the month, the company rigs that is. It’s going to get very nasty and with all this stuff in the middle east with both straits, as you already ...
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