🇮🇷📝 What does a balkanization of Iran mean for the world?

Although many Israeli and American politicians stated that the goal was to regime change Iran, the real intention was to do to Iran what happened in Syria and Iraq, foment uprisings, provoke multiple civil wars because Iran will never be a regional competitor to Israel if its dealing with uprisings and ethnic separatism.

A balkanized Iran or an Iran locked in civil war would transform the country from an occasional source of geopolitical instability to a source of PERMANENT geopolitical instability.

A balkanized Iran would be a huge source of:

🔶 International terrorism

🔶 Supply chain disturbance through its proximity to the Persian Gulf, Caspian Basin and emerging Trans-Caucuses logistics corridors. Terrorist orgs can and will throw loitering munitions at any ship, aircraft or train that is within their reach and will require foreign interventions and troop deployments to counteract these threats.

🔶 Massive migration flows (which in turn would destabilise European politics);

🔶 Nuclear proliferation and radiological terrorism fears

🔶 Regional sectarian and ethnic conflict

🔶 Great power competition. Proxy wars between other powers, especially Turkey and Israel

🔶 Keeping America and other European countries entangled in the Middle East for many years trying to stem migratory flows, combat terrorism and protect trade and supply chains to and from East Asia.

Nobody except for Israel has anything to gain from a balkanized Iran.

@CIG_telegram