We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
🇮🇷⚔️🛢 Iran’s Red Sea Escalation Options
Since US is bombing Iran from Saudi Arabia, a look at five escalatory options that will have economic impacts on KSA and further choke global oil & gas supplies.
Map shows three maritime chokepoints (nos. 1–3). Two down arrows (nos. 4–5) point to possible targets for Iranian missiles and/or drones.
1: Straits of Hormuz: sealed (pending liberation by USN and USMC)
2: Bab al-Mandab (“Gate of Tears”): can be sealed by Ansarullah (“Houthis”). This may lead CSG Ford and/or CSG Lincoln to fight Ansar, alleviating pressure on Iran. NB: oil carriers exiting Red Sea via Bab al-Mandab are destined for Asia and Africa (mostly allies);
3: Entry to Suez Canal: possible to target bulk carriers and freight carriers sailing toward, or passing through, the Suez Canal (1,350–1,450km depending on location of Iranian missile base). NB: oil carriers exiting Red Sea via Suez are destined for Europe (Iran’s enemies);
4: East-West Pipeline: just as UAE’s Hormuz bypass pipeline from Fujairah was hit today, E-W Pipeline can be struck. This escalation is reversible (i.e., ruptures in the pipeline can be rebuilt fairly quickly);
5: Yanbu South Terminal and North Terminal: hits on Yanbu—depending on severity—will represent a major escalation (damages will take longer to repair). Iran will only strike enemy oil & gas facilities in a “bigly” way if their own facilities are “obliterated.”
🔗 Shivan Mahendrarajah
China is now closing mosques and converting them into barns for raising chickens as a way to fight radicalism. China officially considers Islam a ‘mental illness.’ Do you like this idea?
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🛢📈 — Reuters reports that oil is approaching $100 per barrel following the latest exchange of attacks between Americans and Iranians on oil tankers.
▶️The price of Brent crude has risen to $97.07 per barrel, while American WTI crude has risen to $92.28. In the past week, Brent has risen by 7.8%, while WTI has risen by nearly 10%.
▶️On Saturday, U.S. forces attacked three Iranian oil tankers, one of which was stationed near the island of Kharg, a key center for Iranian oil exports. In response, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced attacks on three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and three more U.S. ships.
▶️In this context, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has sharply declined. Over the past 10 days, an average of only 10 cargo ships have transited the strait per day – the lowest level since May.
The WHO now states on its website:
Vaccination against COVID-19 can trigger multiple sclerosis through cross-reactive CD4+-T cells that recognize the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 and myelin peptides.
In other words: Your own immune system destroys the nerve pathways and then attacks your brain and spinal cord.
