🇮🇷⚔️🛢 Iran’s Red Sea Escalation Options
Since US is bombing Iran from Saudi Arabia, a look at five escalatory options that will have economic impacts on KSA and further choke global oil & gas supplies.
Map shows three maritime chokepoints (nos. 1–3). Two down arrows (nos. 4–5) point to possible targets for Iranian missiles and/or drones.
1: Straits of Hormuz: sealed (pending liberation by USN and USMC)
2: Bab al-Mandab (“Gate of Tears”): can be sealed by Ansarullah (“Houthis”). This may lead CSG Ford and/or CSG Lincoln to fight Ansar, alleviating pressure on Iran. NB: oil carriers exiting Red Sea via Bab al-Mandab are destined for Asia and Africa (mostly allies);
3: Entry to Suez Canal: possible to target bulk carriers and freight carriers sailing toward, or passing through, the Suez Canal (1,350–1,450km depending on location of Iranian missile base). NB: oil carriers exiting Red Sea via Suez are destined for Europe (Iran’s enemies);
4: East-West Pipeline: just as UAE’s Hormuz bypass pipeline from Fujairah was hit today, E-W Pipeline can be struck. This escalation is reversible (i.e., ruptures in the pipeline can be rebuilt fairly quickly);
5: Yanbu South Terminal and North Terminal: hits on Yanbu—depending on severity—will represent a major escalation (damages will take longer to repair). Iran will only strike enemy oil & gas facilities in a “bigly” way if their own facilities are “obliterated.”
🔗 Shivan Mahendrarajah
THE COST OF THE AMERICAN DREAM HAS EXPLODED.
Owning a home.
Buying groceries.
Driving to work.
Paying insurance.
Even your morning coffee.
Nearly every major household expense costs dramatically more than it did just a few years ago.
Over the last 7 years:
• Coffee: +127%
• Home prices: +60%
• Auto insurance: +51%
• Gasoline: +49%
• Electricity: +44%
• Shelter: +35%
• Groceries: +33%
And that's before paying for healthcare, transportation, or eating out.
This is why so many families feel like they're falling behind even when they get a raise.
The biggest financial problem for millions of Americans is that everything is going up at the same time, while the government keeps showing a 2% inflation target.
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
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