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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - WAR IN IRAN | APRIL 1st, DAY 33 RECAP

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - 14 wounded in Iranian missile strike in central Israel, according to Israeli media.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ - A drone struck British Castrol oil warehouses in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan, causing extensive damage.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Iran launched 9 missiles towards Israel this morning alone, with at least 3 of them being cluster missiles.

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Over the past 12 hours, Hezbollah launched counterattacks in Khiam and Qantara, in the Nabatieh direction, southeast Lebanon. Hezbollah recaptured northern Khiam, with fighting ongoing for the south of the town. Hezbollah units also re-entered Qantara; frontline sources reported clashes in the center of the town last night.

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - 48 IDF soldiers have been wounded in clashes with Hezbollah over the last 24 hours in southern Lebanon, according to the Israeli Army.

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - "The Israeli army is barely catching its breath in southern Lebanon, and its resources are less than in the previous round of fighting," - Haaretz.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ - Trump is "strongly considering" pulling the U.S. out of NATO, in a statement to The Telegraph.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ›ข - France's most popular gas for cars has now reached โ‚ฌ2 per liter on average.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - "This is not our war; we will not be drawn into the conflict. That is not in our national interest." - British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Trump threatened to stop selling Europe weapons for Ukraine unless Europeans joined the coalition to force the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the Financial Times reports. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte referred to Trump's comments on Hormuz as "quite hysterical."

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, in his letter to the American public, said the U.S. is the party that has abandoned past agreements while escalating tensions and called out Israeli influence. Pezeshkian urged Americans to look beyond media narratives, calling for dialogue over confrontation and emphasizing that continued conflict would be more costly than cooperation.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Iran is not currently willing to engage in any substantial negotiations over ending the war, according to The New York Times. U.S. officials told the Times that Iran believes it is currently in a strong position in the war and has no reason to accede to American demands.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - "About 400 cargo ships and others are standing behind the Strait of Hormuz or around the Iranian islands, waiting for an Iranian permit," - Mehr News, an Iranian outlet.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - An Iranian senior source told Reuters that no discussions have been conducted through mediators for a temporary ceasefire.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - President Trump said the war was almost finished and that, if a deal was not made, the United States would strike Iranian energy infrastructure. He also urged other countries to try to open the Strait of Hormuz. He repeated points he has made multiple times before and did not declare an end to the war.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›ข - WTI and Brent crude oil have both surged after President Trumpโ€™s speech. WTI is now over $104 a barrel, and Brent is at $105 a barrel.

Here's our recap from yesterday: https://x.com/officialrnintel/status/2039176734172483725?s=20

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December 25, 2025
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00:10:29
LA Has a real problem. Who would vote for this to continue? @NoAgendaLara
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Prediction

The last card that Iran has is blowing up the desalination plants of the Gulf countries

They will be left without water in just two weeks

This will happen of course if Trump attacks the Iranian power plants.

@Megatron_ron

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๐Ÿ›ข How Long Can Demand Destruction Keep a Lid on Oil Prices?

In a somewhat puzzling market development, oil prices haven't spiked yet to record highs amid the worst supply disruption in history.

That's because the market still hopes for a quick resolution to the Strait of Hormuz crisis (for more than three months now), global inventories have offered a supply buffer, the world's top crude importer, China, is staying away from spot purchases, and last but not least, demand destruction is accelerating amid the high prices.

The oversupply with which the market faced the beginning of the Iran war has helped to ease the upward pressure on oil prices as the conflict enters its fourth month. But global stocks, except in China, are being depleted at a record pace, suggesting that the buffer is stretching thin and the true magnitude of the supply loss will hit the market very soon.

Excluding China, which has accumulated large buffer stocks of more than 1.2 billion barrels over the past year, the rest of the ...

Diesel Shock

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿšœ๐Ÿ›ข Biggest Diesel Shock Since 2022 Deals Another Blow to US Farmers

While US farmers brace for higher fertilizer and chemical bills tied to turmoil in the Middle East, another expense is already taking a bite out of razor-thin margins: diesel fuel.

Prices for the fuel that powers tractors, combines and grain trucks have surged as the war in Iran disrupted global oil flows, catching many producers who expected lower energy costs this year off guard. In Illinois, the top US soybean-producing state, farm diesel averaged a record $5.41 a gallon at the start of May, nearly double the price a year earlier.

Current costs, which have moderated some in recent weeks amid prospects for a US-Iran peace deal, still rival levels last seen in 2022 after Russiaโ€™s invasion of Ukraine, adding a fresh burden for farmers already facing weak crop prices and mounting financial pressure.

Marty Richardson, who grows corn and soybeans and raises cattle in Missouri, experienced the sticker shock ...

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