๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ฑ - WAR IN IRAN | APRIL 6th, DAY 38 RECAP:
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท - Iran is seeking a permanent end to the war and will not accept a temporary ceasefire, demanding guarantees that it will not be attacked again. The final agreement is expected to include Iranian commitments not to pursue nuclear weapons in exchange for sanctions relief and the release of frozen assets, a source tells Reuters.
๐ฎ๐ท - "Iran will allow ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for paying security fees. The security fees obtained will be used as war reparations. Several Indian, Pakistani, Turkish, and French ships have obtained transit permits for Hormuz," a senior Iranian official tells Al Jazeera.
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท - "A senior American official told me that Iran submitted a 10-point response today to the proposal to end the war. The senior American official described the Iranian response as 'maximalist' and said that it is not clear if it will allow progress toward a diplomatic solution." โ Barak Ravid, Israeli journalist for Axios.
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ฑ - Four IDF soldiers have been arrested by the Shin Bet on suspicion of spying for Iran.
๐ฎ๐ท๐ท๐บ๐ฎ๐ฑ - Russian intelligence has provided Iran with a detailed list of 55 critical energy infrastructure targets within Israel, according to The Jerusalem Post, citing Ukrainian intelligence.
๐ฎ๐ท๐ธ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ช - Iran continues strikes on Gulf states.
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ฑ - The US and Israel continue strikes on Iran, including Isfahan, Tehran, and parts of southern Iran.
๐ฎ๐ท - Iran has sent a message to the entire region that, in the event of serious American attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure, the entire region will plunge into darkness.
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ฑ - Iranian missile hit success rates have increased from 3% during the first two weeks of the war to 27% now, according to the Institute for the Study of War and JP Morgan.
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท๐ฐ๐ผ - An Iranian drone attack on Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait last night injured 15 Americans, according to CBS News.
๐ฎ๐ท๐ธ๐ฆ - Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC), the worldโs fourth-largest petrochemical manufacturing company, was struck by Iranian missiles, locals told Rerum Novarum; this has now been confirmed.
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ถ - Projectiles struck an oil refinery in Duhok, Iraqi Kurdistan.
๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท - Mahdi Mohammadi, strategic advisor to the Iranian Parliament speaker: "It is Trump who has about 20 hours to either surrender to Iran, or his allies will return to the Stone Age. We will not back down!"
Here's our recap from yesterday: https://x.com/officialrnintel/status/2040984226854531415?s=20
Police in Winona Minnesota are stunned after every single one of their Flock cameras were suddenly removed in a single night.
According to the police department, all 8 of the town's cameras were cut down and hauled away.
Police are asking for the public's help to identify the individual, but the public has been responding with comments such as:
"The Flock cameras tore themselves down"
"Whoever did it, was fishing with me"
"Whoever it was, was at Bible study with me"
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Nearly 20,000 people are publicly vouching for a man accused of cutting down Flock cameras in a small West Virginia town.
People commented:
"He was saving my neighbor's dog from a fire all day, couldn't be him."
"This man is innocent. I saw him serving at a soup kitchen."
-"Couldn't be him. He was helping me replace the roof on a homeless shelter."
The man, Wesley Jackson, has pleaded Not Guilty.
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US diesel crack surpasses $100 a barrel for the first time on supply disruptions
... and the supply of refined fuels is already nearly exhausted. A hard landing is visible ahead, for farmers, for trucking, and ... well, for everything that requires food (people) and energy (the entire economy).
These are very likely the final days of relative normalcy during which to prepare. Get ready.
๐พ ๐ ๐ JPMorgan warns a massive global food supply crisis could begin next year as fertilizer shortages tighten agricultural supply.
JPMorgan is the latest institutional research desk to warn that the next global food crisis may already be taking shape, driven by what its analysts describe as the "Five Ws": War, Weather, Warehousing, Water, and Waste.
In a new report titled Food Security Is National Security: A Compounding Storm, a team led by London-based senior global economist Nora Szentivanyi warned that disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz and the emergence of a potentially historic El Niรฑo could weaken crop yields, constrain agricultural production, and keep food inflation elevated through the first half of 2027.
"Successive shocks since COVID have compounded, eroding food production capacity and keeping food price pressures elevated into 2027," Szentivanyi said, warning that "this is not a short-lived shock; it has reduced the likelihood of near-term disinflation, and the food ...