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Shortage Of Food

🚫🌾 The coming global food crisis — Financial Times

Hunger and even famine are foreseeable consequences of the war on Iran. Now the world must act to shield the poorest from effects that will continue long after the fighting stops

Few 20th-century transformations did more to remake the world than the ā€œGreen Revolutionā€. From the 1950s onwards, new high-yielding crop varieties, synthetic fertilisers, chemical pesticides and large-scale irrigation drove a sharp increase in the output of staple crops such as wheat and rice. In its more celebratory accounts, this transformation pushed back famine and helped support rapid population growth across much of Asia and Latin America. India, one of the key centres of the Green Revolution, more than doubled wheat production between the mid-1960s and early 1970s.

As numerous critics have noted, the Green Revolution also came with enormous ecological and social costs. But one of its less discussed consequences was the link it established between food production and the fossil fuel industry across every stage of farming. Higher yields depended on a vast expansion of mechanisation, pumped irrigation and, above all, synthetic fertiliser use.

Before the mid-20th century, farmers across the global south relied on organic inputs such as manure and compost to maintain soil nutrients. The new high-yielding varieties of the Green Revolution, by contrast, could only deliver their promised output through large and repeated applications of industrial fertilisers, especially nitrogen-based products such as urea and ammonium nitrate. Since many of these fertilisers are derived from natural gas, the Green Revolution meant that the world’s food production became ever more closely tied to a constantly increasing supply of hydrocarbon inputs.

Doubts have long been expressed about the sustainability of this fossil fuel-based food system. But as oil and gas prices have risen steeply amid the US-Israeli war on Iran and a significant part of the global fertiliser trade has been brought to a standstill, its potential vulnerabilities have been made clear. After only seven weeks, food shortages and even famine are now looking more likely for millions of people across vulnerable countries in Africa and Asia.

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šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡øšŸ’¬šŸ‡®šŸ‡·āŒšŸ‡®šŸ‡· — 🧐 ISW on š•:

"MORE: Ghalibaf publicly defended negotiations on Iranian state television on April 18, arguing that diplomacy with the United States, alongside military power, is necessary to secure Iran’s objectives. Ghalibaf also reportedly criticized hardline officials, including Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) member Saeed Jalili and hardline parliamentarian Amirhossein Sabeti, for their opposition to negotiations during a meeting with advisers, but his criticisms were likely implicitly directed at Vahidi.

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DEPRESSION

U.S. DEPRESSION RATE STAYS NEAR RECORD HIGH

A GALLUP SURVEY FINDS 19.1% OF U.S. ADULTS REPORT CURRENT DEPRESSION IN EARLY 2026—ABOUT 51 MILLION PEOPLE—NEAR HISTORIC HIGHS AND UP SHARPLY FROM 2015.

RATES SURGED AFTER 2019, BRIEFLY EASED IN 2024, THEN ROSE AGAIN. LIFETIME DIAGNOSES HAVE ALSO CLIMBED TO 29.5%.

THE INCREASE IS MOST PRONOUNCED AMONG YOUNGER ADULTS (18–29), WHERE DEPRESSION HAS MORE THAN DOUBLED TO 28%, AND AMONG LOW-INCOME HOUSEHOLDS, NOW AT 37.4%.

LONELINESS REMAINS A KEY DRIVER: THOSE FEELING LONELY ARE FAR MORE LIKELY TO REPORT DEPRESSION (33% VS. 13%). BOTH ARE STRONGLY LINKED TO LOWER LIFE SATISFACTION AND DECLINING OVERALL MENTAL WELLBEING IN THE U.S. ...

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🌾🪫 "We're On Borrowed Time": Vitol LNG Chief Warns Of Coming Food Price Shock

Pablo Galante Escobar, the head of liquefied natural gas (LNG) at Vitol, warned the audience at the FT Commodities Summit earlier today that the "world is on borrowed time" and that the Gulf energy shock will develop into a food crisis unless LNG flows resume through the Hormuz chokepoint.

"We are on borrowed time. Every day this trade remains closed and every day production does not come back, we are building a problem for the future, and we are building a problem that, as I said, will be transferred from the energy side into many different sectors, with the food sector being a very important one," Escobar said, who works world's biggest independent energy trader.

Escobar continued, "This is not sustainable, or the energy crisis will become a food crisis. Only gas can supply the feed for fertilizers. We are building a problem for the future."

He added that even if the Hormuz chokepoint reopened today, it ...

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