We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
🛢 JP Morgan Warns Oil Market Out of Balance, Prices Must Rise
🔸The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil flows, has removed 13.7 million barrels per day from global supply in April alone. A JP Morgan research note warns the market has no good way to replace it.
🔸Normally, spare production capacity in Saudi Arabia and the UAE acts as the market’s shock absorber. But that buffer has effectively been removed, eliminating the system’s first line of defense.
🔸With spare capacity unavailable, markets turned to inventories
➤ Global stockpiles are now being drained at ~7.1 mbd in April, an extraordinary pace, according to the note.
🔸Meanwhile, demand is collapsing because supply simply isn’t reaching users — “forced demand destruction.”The hardest hit sectors include:
▪️ Petrochemical plants across Asia are shutting down or slashing output as LPG, ethane, and naphtha flows from the Gulf collapse
▪️ Airline jet fuel costs account for 11% of total demand loss, with Middle East routes largely grounded and margins under pressure
🔸Even after accounting for falling demand and emergency reserve releases, JP Morgan says a gap of 2.3 million barrels per day remains with no clear fix.
🔸U.S. shale is the only large, flexible supply source left, but it can’t scale fast enough. JPM stresses shale needs 3–6 months for meaningful output gains, and 6–12 months for large increases. That’s too slow for a shock happening now.
🔸Brent prices diverged in April, with futures averaging about $99.7 per barrel while physical “dated Brent” rose to $121.6, signaling tighter real-world supply. The note concludes prices are high, but likely not high enough yet to fully reflect the shortage.
🔗 Dropsite
Miatta Fanbulleh is Liberian.
She is now in charge of Britain's Energy Security.
Meanwhile this is what Liberia looks like:
Beaches covered in excrement.
No waste management.
Absolute filth.
THE COST OF THE AMERICAN DREAM HAS EXPLODED.
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Owning a home.
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Buying groceries.
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Driving to work.
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Paying insurance.
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Even your morning coffee.
Nearly every major household expense costs dramatically more than it did just a few years ago.
Over the last 7 years:
• Coffee: +127%
• Home prices: +60%
• Auto insurance: +51%
• Gasoline: +49%
• Electricity: +44%
• Shelter: +35%
• Groceries: +33%
And that's before paying for healthcare, transportation, or eating out.
This is why so many families feel like they're falling behind even when they get a raise.
The biggest financial problem for millions of Americans is that everything is going up at the same time, while the government keeps showing a 2% inflation target.
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
Biohacker Bryan Johnson claimed he cloned himself as a newborn for the purpose of providing him blood and cells.
