— 🇮🇱 It’s now 2026, a reality check for Israel after 3 years of war:
🇵🇸 Gaza front:
– Hamas has not been disarmed after almost three years of war.
– Tunnel infrastructure in Gaza is intact, rocket arrays being slowly rebuilt.
– Al-Qassam has approximately 25,000 fighters, the same amount as before Oct 7th.
– No sign of an interim government, Hamas is still politically in control of Gaza.
🇱🇧 Lebanon front:
– Hezbollah has not been disarmed, neither North nor South of the Litani.
– Hezbollah’s leadership has successfully reorganized and decentralized, and is now more resistant to assassination strikes than before.
– Hezbollah retains the capability to launch long-range and medium-range rockets, drones and missiles into Israel.
– The increasing use of FPV drones has rendered northern Israeli settlements into ghost towns, and significantly degraded the IDF’s freedom of movement in southern Lebanon.
🇮🇷 Iran front:
– The Islamic Republic is still firmly in power, and perhaps even more entrenched than before.
– Iran’s ballistic missile program, drone force, and conventional capabilities are almost entirely intact and capable of threatening Israel.
– Iran still possesses a large stockpile of highly-enriched uranium, nuclear breakout time is still at ~6 months to a year.
– The Strait of Hormuz is now under Iranian control.
– Most U.S. bases in the region have been rendered unusable and Israel’s Gulf allies are in the weakest position they’ve ever found themselves.
🇾🇪 Yemen front:
– Ansarallah (Houthis) still control the majority of Yemen.
– Houthis still possess hundreds of ballistic missiles and thousands of drones, capable of targeting Israel.
– The Bab Al-Mandab can be closed at any moment.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Gavin Newsom caught in a massive federal money laundering scam
Newsom increased ambulance costs 300%, then requested reimbursements from the federal government, but it was fake
He’d then pay a different company a fraction of the cost and pocket the rest. Stealing billions
“One of the largest and most convoluted schemes in modern history has been discovered during a review of California's medical financial records”
“Investigators found that under Gavin Newsom's leadership, the Golden State has essentially been funneling taxpayer money from all across America to prop up California's own finances.
Genesis Plan started in 2022 and it revolves around the complex concept of intergovernmental transfers, which in simple terms is when a local hospital or county makes a transfer to the state Medicaid agency for payments of medical services such as ambulance rides
After the transfers are made, the state can then request a matching amount of money from the federal government
But Gavin ...
Leaked phone call from January 4, 2025 (3 days before the devastating Palisades Fire)
The call is between Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass and John Alle, a property manager and whistleblower in the Pacific Palisades, Westlake and MacArthur Park areas
John Alle contacted Karen Bass to warn her about extreme fire risks due to weather conditions like high winds and dry brush
Karen Bass tells him to “read between the lines,” “hold tight,” and that “you will understand soon.”
She knew something was coming, almost like a planned fire (many believe the land grab)
This call is interpreted as her knowing serious fire danger was imminent but not wanting to discuss what was about to happen openly….
Very cryptic
🔗 Wall Street Apes (@WallStreetApes)
@CherokeeOwl 🦉
@BrettColdwell
🛢 The Iran war is draining global oil inventories at a record pace:
Global oil stockpiles fell by ~4.8 million barrels per day between March 1 and April 25, the largest quarterly drawdown on record.
Crude makes up ~60% of this decline, with refined fuels accounting for the remaining.
Total visible oil inventories are now near the lowest level since 2018.
JPMorgan warns that total visible oil inventories could fall to operational stress levels of 7.6 billion barrels by June and further down to an operational floor of 6.8 billion barrels by September, assuming no resolution to the Strait of Hormuz closure.
This operational floor represents the bare minimum oil needed to keep global pipelines and refinery systems running, meaning the world would have zero remaining buffer against further supply shocks.
With inventories collapsing, the threat of sharper oil price surges and outright shortages is moving closer.
🔗 Global Markets Investor
Iran rejects dismantling its nuclear facilities and offers a shorter enrichment moratorium than the 20-year suspension Washington demanded, while proposing to dilute some of its highly enriched uranium and transfer the rest to a third country — with guarantees it would be returned if talks fail.
Iran also calls for an immediate end to fighting and a gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, in step with the U.S. lifting its blockade, with nuclear issues negotiated over the next 30 days.
Source: WSJ
🇮🇷🇷🇺🇨🇳 Mackinder's Dread Realized
Harold Mackinder wrote in 1904 that the era of European maritime predominance established 400 years earlier was coming to an end. Western naval and colonial powers had previously been able to outflank and dominate the Asian landmass through superior technology. But the consolidation of great continental-sized land powers such as the Russian Federation and potentially China—combined with changes in land transportation—meant that insular maritime democracies including Great Britain would have a more difficult time maintaining their global position. Mackinder asked his readers to envision continental Europe, continental Asia, and continental Africa as a single “World Island,” possessing most of the world’s population and industrial potential.
The core of this world island he called the Heartland, inaccessible to sea power—essentially, Russia, Mongolia, Tibet, and Central Asia, including parts of China and Iran. If the world island ...