— 🇮🇱 It’s now 2026, a reality check for Israel after 3 years of war:

🇵🇸 Gaza front:

– Hamas has not been disarmed after almost three years of war.

– Tunnel infrastructure in Gaza is intact, rocket arrays being slowly rebuilt.

– Al-Qassam has approximately 25,000 fighters, the same amount as before Oct 7th.

– No sign of an interim government, Hamas is still politically in control of Gaza.

🇱🇧 Lebanon front:

– Hezbollah has not been disarmed, neither North nor South of the Litani.

– Hezbollah’s leadership has successfully reorganized and decentralized, and is now more resistant to assassination strikes than before.

– Hezbollah retains the capability to launch long-range and medium-range rockets, drones and missiles into Israel.

– The increasing use of FPV drones has rendered northern Israeli settlements into ghost towns, and significantly degraded the IDF’s freedom of movement in southern Lebanon.

🇮🇷 Iran front:

– The Islamic Republic is still firmly in power, and perhaps even more entrenched than before.

– Iran’s ballistic missile program, drone force, and conventional capabilities are almost entirely intact and capable of threatening Israel.

– Iran still possesses a large stockpile of highly-enriched uranium, nuclear breakout time is still at ~6 months to a year.

– The Strait of Hormuz is now under Iranian control.

– Most U.S. bases in the region have been rendered unusable and Israel’s Gulf allies are in the weakest position they’ve ever found themselves.

🇾🇪 Yemen front:

– Ansarallah (Houthis) still control the majority of Yemen.

– Houthis still possess hundreds of ballistic missiles and thousands of drones, capable of targeting Israel.

– The Bab Al-Mandab can be closed at any moment.

@Middle_East_Spectator