We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
USDA Destroying 420,000 peach trees after Del Monte closes all California canneries for good
Del Monte (139 years old) filed bankruptcy as rising energy prices and steel tariffs exacerbated an already bad balance sheet. They closed their Modesto and Hughson canning plants and canceled long-term contracts worth hundreds of millions.
Farmers now have no buyer for clingstone peaches meant for canning.
The USDA is "helping" farmers, providing $9m to destroy the orchards, calling it 'support for transitioning.'
This is what systemic failure looks like in a centralized food supply: one big player collapses, and the entire chain breaks.
Grow your own food! De-centralize! #GoGrow
Intellectual masking is the deliberate regulation of how much of your knowledge, reasoning, and analytical ability you reveal so that others form a controlled (and often incomplete) assessment of your capabilities.
Its purpose is to manage perception, reduce unnecessary attention, encourage others to reveal more information, and preserve strategic advantage until demonstrating full competence serves your objective.
🛢 We Are 'Still' Going Full Speed Into The Wall
Product storage is about to get tighter unless China steps in and lifts the product export ban. If it does, expect a meaningful reversal in crude.
WTI is barely hanging on to $70 for its dear life, but please remember that consumers use petroleum products like gasoline and diesel; they don’t use crude oil. Refineries do, and this is why it was always important for us to pay attention to crack spreads along with crude timespreads.
Note: Please divide it by 3.
The fever in the market today is that crude is oversupplied, but products are undersupplied. How can this be possible?
Well, China’s June crude import data so far is -4.7 million b/d y-o-y, and teapot refineries are operating at 50% utilization. Compared to US refineries operating at 95% and PADD 2 refineries operating over 100%, you can see where the disconnect is.
But here’s the thing. If end-user demand isn’t down and you still have a production shut-in of ~8 million...
