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🚨🔍 Where the Iran conflict stands: Trump says deal in days — Iran says 'speculative' — Strait remains closed
President Trump called off another round of nighttime military strikes against Iran, then pivoted to announce that a deal is imminent – possibly signed in Europe this weekend, with JD Vance representing the US.
🇮🇷 Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghaei says reports of a signing are "speculative." Most of the text was ready, but the US kept changing its positions. Iran will not compromise on its red lines. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed due to "illegal US actions."
✡️ Netanyahu's office claims Trump assured Netanyahu that any final agreement would require Iran to remove enriched nuclear material, dismantle enrichment infrastructure, limit missiles, and end support for regional armed groups. Israel says it is not a party to the deal. Trump has not publicly confirmed any of this.
⚔️ Reality on the water: IRGC naval forces confronted an oil tanker attempting to transit the strait. Explosions were heard in southern Sirik County. The IRGC warns that any vessel attempting to pass will be treated as a security threat and "dealt with severely." Ship captains have been told to remain anchored until further notice.
Trump has repeatedly claimed an imminent peace deal – all while struggling to restrain Israeli attacks and continuing to strike Iranian civilian infrastructure. If there is real progress in Iran‑US negotiations, it should be visible on paper and, most importantly, on the battlefield – not in Trump's rants.
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🇬🇧 Video has surfaced of Henry Nowak’s killer, Vickrum Digwa, threatening people during a road rage incident with the same knife he later used to take Henry’s life.
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In case you missed it:
President Trump just effectively announced that the US will be putting boots on the ground to take Kharg Island in Iran in the near future.
Kharg Island, which is one-third the size of Manhattan and located in the Persian Gulf, controls ~90% of Iranian crude oil exports.
That's roughly 1.5 to 2.0 million barrels of crude oil exports per day.
Trump specifically says this would be a "Venezuela" style takeover, where the US would take complete control of Iran's oil and gas infrastructure.
If this happens, it would be the biggest escalation of the Iran War yet.
We expect to receive Iran's response shortly.
(@TheKobeissiLetter)
🛢📈 — The price of Brent crude oil is rising again after the renewed American aggression against Iran. In fact, it has been going up since Trump promised new strikes on Iran will happen today
🇮🇷❗️ — The statement is regarding the closure of the Hormuz:
From this moment on, due to insecurity in the region, the Strait of Hormuz is declared closed to the passage of any type of vessel, including oil tankers and commercial vessels, and any traffic will be targeted.
In continuation of the evils of the criminal America and in light of the beginning of the attacks of that country's aggressor army on some southern regions in Hormozgan province, from this moment on, due to insecurity in the region, the Strait of Hormuz is declared closed to the passage of any type of vessel, including oil tankers and commercial vessels, and any traffic will be targeted.
The US claim that the ship passed through the aforementioned strait is denied.
🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸 Updated tally of U.S. military aircraft losses in the war with Iran (28 Feb–09 Jun 2026):
Recent losses include four MQ-9 Reaper drones, one MQ-1C, and a U.S. Army AH-64 Apache attack helicopter.
The estimated cost of U.S. aircraft losses and damage now exceeds $2.7 billion.
📝The graph doesn’t include MQ-9 Reapers downed by the Houthis.
🔗 EGYOSINT
