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Deal?

🇺🇸🤝🇮🇷❗️ — URGENT: The signing of a deal between the United States and Iran appears to be imminent, following statements by Iranian, U.S. and Pakistani leaders.

🇮🇷💬 Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi (later reposted by Trump on Truth Social):

"The Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding has never been closer. Pending its finalization, the media should refrain from entering speculation about its content.

In line with our responsible and transparent approach, all details will be shared with the public in due course."

🇺🇸💬 U.S. Vice-president JD Vance after Mehr News leaked details of the alleged deal:

"I'm seeing a lot of fake information about a potential deal to reopen the Strait and end Iran's nuclear weapons program.

First, the Iranians are not receiving any cash, and no funds are being released for simply signing a deal or attending a meeting.

The deal is structured to ensure that the US and its allies concerns are prioritized, and that if the Islamic Republic of Iran meets its obligations, then economic benefits will flow to them and to the entire region. This deal has the potential to remake the region and lead to lasting peace.

I've noticed a couple of bizarre things in the reporting over the last few hours. First, people who (rightly) said Donald Trump was a historic president a month ago now criticizing a deal based on unconfirmed media reports. Second, people who say you can't trust a word said by the IRGC who apparently believe anonymously sourced social media posts.

The president is going to get us a good outcome, one way or the other."

🇵🇰💬 Pakistani PM and central mediator between the U.S. and Iran, Shehbaz Sharif:

"Amid ongoing intense mediation efforts by Pakistan, we are fully aware of incessant misinformation campaign being waged by those who want to sabotage the peace deal.

Setting aside the noise, we can confirm that a final, agreed upon text of the peace deal has been reached and Pakistan is now working closely with both sides to finalize the next steps.

Peace has never been this close as it is now."

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Deal Details

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 The upcoming Iran-U.S. deal, what details will I be looking for?

1. Lebanon & Iran’s Frozen Assets

The primary issue between both sides in the past few weeks has consisted of two things:
1. A ceasefire in Lebanon
2. A partial release of Iran’s frozen assets up front.

If these two terms are included in the agreement, the U.S. would have compromised on them—if not, then Iran has compromised on them.

It also depends on the specifics of these terms. For example, will it be a true ceasefire in Lebanon—or will Israel be allowed to carry out limited strikes like in 2024-2025? Will Iran’s money be released immediately and unconditionally, or will it be released upon Iran’s agreement to certain other things? Will Iran be allowed to use the money in any way it wishes, or will it be limited to ‘humanitarian purposes’? These things all matter.

2. Management of the Strait of Hormuz

According to Iran’s SNSC, and per instruction of Iran’s Supreme Leader, the Strait of Hormuz must come ...

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Where We Are

🚨🔍 Where the Iran conflict stands: Trump says deal in days — Iran says 'speculative' — Strait remains closed

President Trump called off another round of nighttime military strikes against Iran, then pivoted to announce that a deal is imminent – possibly signed in Europe this weekend, with JD Vance representing the US.

🇮🇷 Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghaei says reports of a signing are "speculative." Most of the text was ready, but the US kept changing its positions. Iran will not compromise on its red lines. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed due to "illegal US actions."

✡️ Netanyahu's office claims Trump assured Netanyahu that any final agreement would require Iran to remove enriched nuclear material, dismantle enrichment infrastructure, limit missiles, and end support for regional armed groups. Israel says it is not a party to the deal. Trump has not publicly confirmed any of this.

⚔️ Reality on the water: IRGC naval forces confronted an oil tanker ...

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