We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
🇮🇷🚫🚢 Here's my analysis of the Strait of Hormuz situation for the last 24 hours.
As I noted yesterday, I was seeing a lot of vessels using the Oman route to exit. This was following the announcement by Oman and IMO. The IRGC retaliated today on a vessel, but even after the attack, I am still seeing transits. It's a lot less, but there are vessels willing to take the risk.
On the inbound front, the flow is still heavily restricted. Whatever outflow we are seeing today is unsustainable as there are not enough non-Iranian tankers going in. In particular, we need empty VLCCs going in to load up crude. This is just a trickle so far.
In my view, the traffic in the Oman lane will lead to more escalation by IRGC. Without throttling flows entirely in the Southern lane, IRGC will lose control of its leverage over the Strait. If they act, then it's a question of what the US does after.
I think this is only the beginning.
🔗 @HFI_Research
The village of Piddington has voted for independence from the United Kingdom and to become a self governing village in a landslide vote.
91% Voting Leave
This comes after news that over 3,000 illegal migrants are to be dumped in their village.
Follow @zeeemedia
Website | X | Instagram | Rumble
Many have asked my opinion on a possible Russia-NATO conflict.
This is going to annoy many people, and hopefully give them a reality check, but my opinion is very simple.
1. Russia had some valid strategic and ideological reasons for what it did in Ukraine, regardless of whether I condone the invasion or not. Was it successful? Arguably yes, arguably no—it depends on what you consider as the war’s key objectives. The war actually pushed two neutral countries into NATO and pulled Ukraine even further away from Russian influence.
2. Russia does not have any valid strategic reason to invade the Baltics or any other NATO territory. Any attack on the Baltics cannot be excused as ‘protecting Russian culture & language’ or fighting ‘Nazism’. If this does happen, it’ll be a clear sign of expansionism, nothing more and nothing less. Russia is not a saintly country and I don’t put it past them.
3. If Russia does miscalculate and invade NATO territory, it will backfire ...
🌆 Market News Digest
[Sept 22, 2026 EST]
🔥 Top Stories
• Trump says US-Iran talks were “very productive” — White House/mediators signal momentum on a deal; Hormuz reopening and sanctions relief remain central
• Oil swings on Hormuz diplomacy, then settles lower — Brent/$94.59 WTI after ceasefire/deal hopes offset blockade and tanker-risk headlines
• Trump UNGA speech: hard line on Iran, AI, Greenland — urged isolation of Iran, vowed no global AI controls, signed Greenland security deal
• US stocks end mixed; Nasdaq hits fresh record — chip/AI names led, while banks lagged and rates stayed firm
⛽ Oil & Energy
• Hormuz remains the key market risk — Iran alternates between reopening talk and threats; U.S.com/Gulf push de-escalation and alternative flow routes
• Aramco, Libya, Iraq headlines support supply-watch — Aramco eyes gas reorg/listings; Libyan shutdown trims output; Iraq exports top 3 mln bpd
📊 Markets & Macro
• Fed speakers stay hawkish-ish — Collins/Barkin ...
