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📝 🇺🇸 🚢 From the Caribbean to the Black Sea to Hormuz: The Global Conflict No One is Seeing | Sal Mercogliano
The world’s oceans are witnessing a level of conflict not seen in decades. In this episode of What's Going on With Shipping?, we analyze the rapid escalation of maritime warfare across three key regions: the Caribbean, the Black Sea, and the Strait of Hormuz. From the U.S. Southern Command's strikes on narco-vessels to Ukraine's massive drone offensive against the Russian fleet, and the latest Iranian attacks on commercial tankers, we break down why these "out of sight" events have a habit of triggering global crises.
Key Highlights:
⚓Caribbean Operations: A look at Operation Southern Spear and the controversial 66 strikes against suspected narco-terrorist boats.
⚓Black Sea Offensive: Analyzing Ukraine’s strike on 21 Russian ships within 72 hours and the shift toward targeting bridge and accommodation areas.
⚓Hormuz Crisis: The breakdown of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire after three commercial tankers were struck by Iranian UAVs and projectiles.
⚓Historical Context: Why maritime incidents—from unrestricted submarine warfare to tanker wars—historically lead to major global declarations of war.
⚓The "Fainting Goat" Effect: How the fear of predators in the shipping lanes causes global trade to lock up and freeze in place.
00:00 - Intro: The Reality of Modern Naval Warfare
01:43 - How Maritime Events Historically Escalate into War
04:22 - Conflict 1: Operation Southern Spear in the Caribbean
07:02 - Conflict 2: Drone Attacks and Escalation in the Black Sea
10:11 - Geopolitics of the Sea of Azov and Russian Inland Waterways
13:17 - Conflict 3: The Deteriorating Situation in the Strait of Hormuz
14:48 - Iranian Strikes and US Response (CENTCOM)
16:43 - Analysis of the Iran vs. Oman Safe Passage Lanes
18:32 - The Memorandum of Understanding and Control Disputes
21:51 - The Long-term Impact of Undeclared Naval Wars
23:44 - Outro and How to Support the Channel
📎 What's Going on With Shipping
China is now closing mosques and converting them into barns for raising chickens as a way to fight radicalism. China officially considers Islam a ‘mental illness.’ Do you like this idea?
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📎 X (Twitter)▪️Truth Social
BREAKING: Pakistan has imposed "lockdown-like" measures amid its fuel and gas crisis due to historically low supply, including fuel allocation reductions and a mandatory 9 PM market closure.
Details include:
1. Pakistan has now mandated all markets to close by 9 PM and the purchase of new government vehicles has been banned
2. The country is also implementing a 50% cut in fuel allocations for government vehicles
3. The government has announced a 5% reduction in non-employee-related spending and banned official foreign visits, urging virtual meetings instead
4. Official dinners have been prohibited, except those hosted for foreign visitors and delegations
Today marks day number 202 of the Iran War.
(@TheKobeissiLetter)
Learn to recognize when urgency is being used to bypass verification, narrow your thinking, or pressure you into acting before you understand the situation. Its value is operational control: confirm identity and authority, assess consequences, then act on verified information instead of manufactured urgency.
