We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
Fwd from @rybar
🇸🇾 What is happening in Syria?
Situation for September 27 - October 1, 2023
▪️ In Trans-Euphrates, fighting continues between the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and Arab tribal militias.
The rebels released a statement denying involvement with any political force. They also accused the Kurds of colluding with the government in Damascus with the Iranians and refusing to fight against them.
In this case, one can even believe in the sincerity of the motives of the Arab clans: they receive nothing from the oil of Trans-Euphrates, just like from the Kurdish strangers who occupied these lands and established their own order.
▪️ In the south, in Druze Es-Suwayda, protests against the difficult socio-economic situation continue, during which even flags of the Syrian opposition have been seen.
There is no need to look for deep meaning in this - the Druze do not care about the problems of regions with Sunni or other populations. But the situation again demonstrates that the government has lost control over the situation in the province and is actually acting as an observer.
▪️ Early in the morning of October 1, Israel carried out further strikes on Syria. Explosions occurred in Al-Dimas and near the Mezze airbase, and Syrian air defense went off near Damascus. The results of the attack remain unknown, just like the objects of the raids themselves, the military expediency of which has long been questioned.
▪️ The United States reported on a joint operation with the Kurds in northeast Syria to capture the coordinator of the Islamic State, Mamdouh Ibrahim al-Hajji. Similar raids with the capture of various ISIS functionaries take place regularly and do not seriously affect the general background.
In general, the situation in Syria is the same: although there are no large-scale military operations, constant protests and local clashes have become commonplace.
The country is increasingly reminiscent of a powder keg, where one spark can provoke a war not between the usual parties to the conflict, but all against all.
#Damascus #DeirEzZor #Syria #EsSuwayda
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🇮🇷🏆🇺🇸 Iran Is a Bigger Defeat Than Vietnam | Foreign Policy
At his second inaugural, U.S. President Donald Trump pronounced his hope “that our recent presidential election will be remembered as the greatest and most consequential election in the history of our country.” By losing his Gulf war, Trump has achieved that goal. His choice to launch a campaign against Iran was encouraged by others, but fully his own. It has led to a reversal that marks a strategic calamity far greater than the U.S. defeat in the Vietnam War.
Defeat in the Iranian war looks, on the surface, nothing like other U.S. military defeats. The speed of the war and its remoteness have lent an air of unreality to the whole endeavor. The White House has not been burned, as it was in 1814; there have not been protests against a nonexistent draft. The absence of substantial U.S. casualties in this conflict also masks the scale of the U.S. defeat. To be sure, the war has been deadly: Thousands of Iranians, ...
According to The Wall Street Journal, Donald Trump reviewed military options for a full-scale war against Iran to “finish the job,” but has decided, for now, not to move forward.
The report says Trump is concerned that renewed military conflict could hurt the chances of a diplomatic resolution and of dismantling Iran’s nuclear program, and that he’s shown willingness to let indirect talks in Qatar run past the August 18 deadline. He is said to be fine with continuing limited strikes on Iranian targets if Tehran violates the current temporary deal - as it already has, repeatedly.
How are those negotiations going?
Not well. It seems JD Vance’s “historic” face-to-face achievement was a one-off. Washington has been quietly downgraded from talking to the Great Satan to negotiating with the Little Satan instead - a senior Qatari official confirmed that U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Qatari officials in Doha, but there are currently no high-level U.S.-Iran meetings ...
