We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
Fwd from @rybar
🇸🇾 What is happening in Syria?
Situation for September 27 - October 1, 2023
▪️ In Trans-Euphrates, fighting continues between the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and Arab tribal militias.
The rebels released a statement denying involvement with any political force. They also accused the Kurds of colluding with the government in Damascus with the Iranians and refusing to fight against them.
In this case, one can even believe in the sincerity of the motives of the Arab clans: they receive nothing from the oil of Trans-Euphrates, just like from the Kurdish strangers who occupied these lands and established their own order.
▪️ In the south, in Druze Es-Suwayda, protests against the difficult socio-economic situation continue, during which even flags of the Syrian opposition have been seen.
There is no need to look for deep meaning in this - the Druze do not care about the problems of regions with Sunni or other populations. But the situation again demonstrates that the government has lost control over the situation in the province and is actually acting as an observer.
▪️ Early in the morning of October 1, Israel carried out further strikes on Syria. Explosions occurred in Al-Dimas and near the Mezze airbase, and Syrian air defense went off near Damascus. The results of the attack remain unknown, just like the objects of the raids themselves, the military expediency of which has long been questioned.
▪️ The United States reported on a joint operation with the Kurds in northeast Syria to capture the coordinator of the Islamic State, Mamdouh Ibrahim al-Hajji. Similar raids with the capture of various ISIS functionaries take place regularly and do not seriously affect the general background.
In general, the situation in Syria is the same: although there are no large-scale military operations, constant protests and local clashes have become commonplace.
The country is increasingly reminiscent of a powder keg, where one spark can provoke a war not between the usual parties to the conflict, but all against all.
#Damascus #DeirEzZor #Syria #EsSuwayda
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🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz
@CIG_Telegram
Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.
Main points:
Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.
Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.
Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.
Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.
Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.
Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.
Missiles & drones:
2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.
2 rockets were ...
OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS
📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.
THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.
ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...
