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Deployments

⚡️🇺🇸🇵🇸 Deployments of the United States Military, over the past 5 days.

(I would like to note this is not information I gathered myself, but that associates and friends of mine provided)

USS Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group Eastern Mediterran region, consists of 8 Arleigh Burke-class Destroyers, 2 Ticonderoga-class Cruisers

USS Dwight D. Eisenhower Carrier Strike Group (Scheduled to arrive in Naples, Italy, soon; 8 Arleigh Burke-class Destroyers, 2 Ticonderoga-class Cruisers, already has left the Port of Norfolk.

6 Squadrons of F/A-18E (Single Seater) Super Hornets (144 Aircrafts total)

2 Squadrons of F/A-18F (Double Seater) Super Hornets (48 Aircrafts total)

16 B-1B Lancers to an RAF Airbase in the U.K

32 A-10A/B Warthogs to a US Airbase in the UAE (which the UAE officially denied)

Reallocation of 101st Airborne assets from the US and Europe, up to 10,000 personnel split between Syria and Jordan

High probability of U.S SOCOM Operatives on the ground in Israel already (reported by the media, if they are not in the ground, most likely attached to Naval assets)

His comment :

"This is what I've gathered thus far based off Open Sourced info and the carrier groups. Each one's carrying 4 Super Hornet squadrons (3 E-variant or single seater Super Hornets & 1 F-variant or double seater Super Hornet squadron per carrier). Assuming 24 aircrafts per squadron, that puts each carrier at 96 Super Hornets or 192 in total"

Assuming a good chunk of the inventory remains, these two carrier strike grounds have more missiles that what the entire Black Sea fleet launched during the course of last year in Ukraine.

Each Arleigh Burke DDG fields:
• 96-cells for Missiles (Flight IIAs)
• 90-cells for Missiles (Flight Is)
• 8-cells Dedicated Anti-Ship (AShM) Launchers (Flight Is)

Between the 2 USN Carrier Groups there are:
• 4 Ticonderoga-class CGs (122-cell VLS)
• 8 Arleigh Burke-class Flight I Destroyers (90-cell VLS + 8 AShMs)
• 8 Arleigh Burke-class Flight IIA Destroyers (96-cell VLS)

His comment, yet again :

Excluding the aircrafts' and their capability to launch ordinance, the 4 CGs & 16 DDGs have a combined capability of 1,976 Vertical Launch System cells (+96 Harpoon AShMs on 10 of the vessels) for missiles.
Realistically, a portion of these are devoted to Enhanced Sea-Sparrow Missiles (ESSM) for air defense along with the Standard Missile (SM) series that are multi-use missiles, realistically if we see these as a land-attack, we can see an easily 50% of these cells devoted to things such as the naval Tomahawk Cruise Missile which have a range of at minimum, 900nmi based on the Block-VB variation. In the event of all out war, the 2 American carrier groups will be able to quite literally reach as far as into Saudi Arabia and a little over a third into Syria from the Eastern Mediterranean as well as denying just about anything Egypt would try to throw over the air.

@themediterraneanman

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OIL SHOCK

🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz

@CIG_Telegram

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Analysis

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.

Main points:

Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.

Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.

Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.

Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.

Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.

Missiles & drones:

2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.

2 rockets were ...

Oil Prices

OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.

THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.

ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...

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