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Analysis Cont.

This is perhaps the reason why yesterday Netanyahu changed the narrative from simply a secular anti-Terrorism War to a War primarily based on two factors by quoting the Book of Isaiah:

  • Eschatology and Faith

Nothing moves the imagination of human beings more than Faith, whether Abrahamic or not.

More profoundly than any ideology
More comprehensive than any secular socio-political group
Religion and Faith, although non-Abrahamic ones and without necessarily well-structured elements, are more capable of influencing the human mind more strongly than anything in this world

Obviously this would further irritate sectors of the third position, anti-immigration traditionalists and Christian Nationalists (like me) who view with suspicion and absurdity what Israel does to not only Christians in the Holy Land, but in Lebanon (where they stabbed them in the back to the only Christian force capable of keeping Lebanon standing as an independent and sovereign nation), Iraq (Netanyahu and the Israeli Government openly lobbied in favor of the invasion of Iraq, which caused the removal of millions of Assyrian Christians from its native lands) and Syria.

It's a fact and nothing more than that:

  • Only the incitement of a religious sentiment in Europe and the USA - which are increasingly liberal, secular, weakened and disinterested in transcendental and millennial topics - would make the support in fact as desired by the Zionist authorities against an eventual Arab-Muslim coalition

But obviously, the Zionist Groups would not do such a thing, mainly for fear that the Christians would eventually want to take Eretz Zion for themselves (as is their right for us) and mainly due to the fact that the Israeli Government itself has, as previously noted, a limit in its soft power and capacity for action outside the region

Therefore, the only chance that Israel currently has, if the Europeans and Americans, do not come to its aid in an eventual all-out war between them and the Muslims, would be to resort to groups that are regionally enemies of its enemies, in the same style of Quid Pro Quo:

  • Secular Kurds (by far one of the most Pro-Israel groups in MENA currently)
  • Iranian Opposition (Monarchists and liberal republican groups)
  • Saudi liberals
  • Anti-Assad Groups in Southern Syria
  • Gulenists and Radical Kemalists in Turkey
  • Separatists in Southern Yemen
  • Azeri separatists in Iran and even Azerbaijan itself
  • Salafi groups in Baluchistan
  • And all those willing to side and fight alongside with Israel against the supposed "Islamic Yoke" that if mentioned here would make you rise one eyebrow or two

Obviously, the idea that such groups would necessarily cooperate with Israel in the event of an all-out war is based on nothing less than speculative pondering and wishful thinking.

But it is still a possibility, especially considering that some of these, each according to their agendas and objectives, already do it.

Not to mention obviously the impact that a War for Jerusalem and Al-Aqsa has on the Muslim imagination.

The Hadiths about the Flourishing State of Jerusalem, the Black Flags coming from Khorasan and Al-Malhama Al-Kubra are still present in the imagination of the average religious Muslim in the Middle East and Central/West Asia

Disregarding these points is ignoring a main point present in the socio-political-religious vision of billions of people, of which some millions would certainly be willing to sacrifice everything to fight in the name of such a cause and such a vision, whether you agree with it or not.

One could imagine what would happen if the Invasion of Gaza happens on the scale predicted by some here (including me) - that the invasion will be brutal, bloody and cost the lives of tens of thousands of innocent people - and the surrounding Waqfs of the Middle East declare Jihad against Israel and the West as reaction.

Certainly some groups of Muslims would certainly think, just as religious Jews believe that the Messianic Era has arrived, that:

  • "Yes, indeed, the Last Hour is here, before us"
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OIL SHOCK

🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz

@CIG_Telegram

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Analysis

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.

Main points:

Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.

Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.

Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.

Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.

Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.

Missiles & drones:

2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.

2 rockets were ...

Oil Prices

OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.

THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.

ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...

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