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November 08, 2023
BALLOT HARVESTING

Kentucky- Andy Beshear is a popular incumbent moderate democrat governor who's father was governor from 2007-2015. He wasn't expected to lose only a few polls show it being close, so it wasn't a surprising outcome especially when the Republican candidate was so generic and not popular especially regarding the Taylor case which led many Black's to consider him a traitor. His campaign was very mediocre with no passion. Trump's endorsement didn't help him gain support and at best helped him lose by less points than he should had. The result might be disappointed for some Republicans but doubt any were shocked by it.

Virginia - This was another race where democrats were expected to win so once again it wasn't a surprising result. Republicans had hope that the results of the 2021 Governor election could led to them gaining full control in a state where Joe Biden won by 10 points in 2020 but it seems that the current Virginian governor Glenn Youngkin wasn't able to do it. The result does destroy any possibility of Youngkin running for president at least for 2024 as he was hoping a Republican victory would vindicated his support and popularity in a heavily blue leaning state but it didn't transpire. The only bright side for Republicans in this election was that they narrowly failed to capture the state senate and also narrowly lost control of the house of delegates losing each by 2 seats. Another important thing was that Republicans here try to run a non-Maga campaign and try to be more moderate like Youngkin did in 21 but it seems it didn't help push any moderate or independents to their side.

Mississippi- Unlike Kentucky and Virginia, this race the Republicans were favorite to win. The Republican had the incumbent governor advantage and Mississippi is a deep red state. Now the race was expected to be someone competitive due to the fact that the previous governor election in 2019 was decided by Five Points which was unexpected in a deep South Red State like Mississippi. Another reason why it was considered to be competitive was because the Republic governor was being accused of corruption. The Democratic governor who is related to Elvis Presley try running a moderate campaign and try to focus on getting the youth and black vote to come out heavily for him which it seems didn't happen that's why he didn't come close to winning the race that being said the Republicans did win the race by less points than in 2019.

Ohio- Ohio wasn't having any elections, they were hurting two Deliverance regarding adding rights to abortion to the States Constitution and legalizing the usage and distribution of marijuana. Again both were expected to be approved so the result wasn't surprising and all it did was showed that the abortion issue is a losing one for the Republicans hence why Trump has been last Hardline regarding abortion unlike other Republican presidential candidates. Of course this doesn't mean that Ohio is a swing state it's been widely accepted by political pundits in the US that Ohio is a safe Republican state and it's mostly because of Trump and democrats shifting to the left on other issues.

The results of yesterday's elections has no consequences to the upcoming elections in 2024 as it showed that the polls were correct this time and the expected results happened. Also recent polling shows most Republicans candidates winning against Biden in election ahead to ahead or even with RFK Jr involved. Trump who is expected to win the GOP nomination is lead Biden by 4 points. This show that yesterday's election wasn't a referendum on Biden and his policies but mostly just focus on candidates in those specific. That's being it also shows the incompetence of the GOP leadership specifically Ronna McDaniel and Mitch McConnell who didn't help many candidates with funding or campaign. I expect calls for change in leadership whether that change will happen or not is unsure.

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Trafficking

Humanitarian lawyer and ex-aid worker Andrew MacLeod exposes the involvement of UN security staff in the sex trafficking of young girls, who were kept in cages and abused as sex slaves, with the full knowledge of the UN's leadership.

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00:01:30
RemDEATHevir

Dr. David Martin: "Remdesivir was too unethical to put into Ebola clinical trials in Africa because it had a 53% kill rate."

"But it was chosen in April and May of 2020 to be the drug of choice to treat Covid... despite the fact that the World Health Organisation said it was unethical to use it."

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00:01:18
Lady Graham

Serious allegations from former CIA officer Larry Johnson about Senator Lindsey Graham: “There will be news coming out in the next couple of months about how he has profited financially off of money that came out of Ukraine, laundered through Latvia and made it way into his bank account. And now we're talking significant amounts of money. Department of justice is looking at it.”

00:00:28
OIL SHOCK

🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz

@CIG_Telegram

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Analysis

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.

Main points:

Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.

Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.

Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.

Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.

Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.

Missiles & drones:

2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.

2 rockets were ...

Oil Prices

OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.

THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.

ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...

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