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What are Israel's plans for Gaza? - Analysis
Israel will start a new tactic in the fight with Hamas, that is, a war of exhaustion of the enemy's resources. A war that will last for years.
After Israel realized that it was failing and that it could not defeat Hamas in a guerilla fight without losing half its army, the Israeli leadership made drastic changes in its plans to defeat Hamas.
A month ago the IDF began withdrawing from northern Gaza despite the fact that Hamas had not yet been defeated and heavy fighting was still taking place. After a few weeks, Hamas again began to take back under its control the territories that the Israeli army had abandoned.
The IDF's announced plan to seize to capture Khan Yunis also appears to have failed, after Israeli media reported today that the IDF is beginning to withdraw its battalions from there as well.
While the fighting has been going on for the past few months, Israel has destroyed over 1100 buildings that were located within a 1km perimeter next to the Gaza fence. Israeli officials have confirmed that Israel wants to create a 1km safety zone from the fence inside Gaza.
Then the Israeli army will gradually withdraw from Gaza, and begin to keep it completely under siege, in poverty, without food, water, medicine, forcing the population to turn against Hamas and begin to surrender their positions, while Israel will resume continuous bombing and targeting of Gaza that will last for years.
This would allow Israel to drastically reduce the portion of its army holding the siege of Gaza, while the bulk would be sent north to fight Hezbollah.
Hamas, due to lack of military equipment and technology, will not be able to cross that 1 km open zone without being detected and will be practically unable to wage war, except to sit and wait inside Gaza.
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Serious allegations from former CIA officer Larry Johnson about Senator Lindsey Graham: “There will be news coming out in the next couple of months about how he has profited financially off of money that came out of Ukraine, laundered through Latvia and made it way into his bank account. And now we're talking significant amounts of money. Department of justice is looking at it.”
🇮🇱 ❌ 🇮🇷 🛢 📈 — Deutsche Bank: Oil Prices will go to $125/barrel if the Iran-Israel conflict spills over into the Straight of Hormuz
@CIG_Telegram
Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.
Main points:
Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.
Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.
Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.
Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.
Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.
Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.
Missiles & drones:
2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.
2 rockets were ...
OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS
📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.
THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.
ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...
