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Amir Tsarfati Counter Argument

POSTED FOR POSTERITY
I NEITHER AGREE NOR DISAGREE
The Fake Gaza Casualty Numbers

• Main source of data is Gaza Health Ministry which reports more than 30,000 dead

  • Their claim is that a majority are women and children
     
    • White House has affirmed numbers through SecDef Lloyd Austin (over 25k) and President Biden (over 27k)
  • Both statements were marginalized by later clarifications
     
    • Problem #1 – Linear nature of casualties
  • Daily casualty figures hold steady at 270, plus or minus 15%
  • However, this number should vary greatly depending on level of military activity
     
    • Problem #2 – Non-Linear nature of women/children casualties
  • Because women and children are typically found together, the ratio of women-to-children casualties should remain fairly constant
  • However, the ratio of women-to-children casualties varies greatly
     
    • Problem #3 – Non-Linear nature of women/men casualties
  • Because of natural ebb and flow of warfare, there should be a correlation between casualties of women and men
  • However, not only is there no positive correlation, there is a strong negative correlation between the two
     
    • Problem #4 – Counting errors and illogical numbers
  • There are days when the numbers imply that some people “came back to life” because of counting errors
  • The three days with the highest number of women casualties occur when the men casualties are near zero, which is an improbable and illogical scenario suggesting arbitrary totals
     
    • Problem #5 – Casualty numbers not tied to real world population
  • The claim is that 70% of casualties are women or children, far higher than in any previous Israeli conflict
  • Based on the casualties of combatant men, for the percentages and numbers to work there could be only a few, if any, noncombatant men killed thus far
     
    • Actual numbers cannot be determined right now
  • Israel estimates at least 12,000 Hamas fighters have been killed
  • If 25,000 casualties is accurate, that would imply between a 1.4-to-1 and a 1-to-1 noncombatant to combatant casualty rate, which is remarkably low in a modern urban warfare situation where combatants have intentionally embedded themselves amongst civilian populations
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December 25, 2025
A Christmas Message from PrepperNow!
00:10:29
Healthy

Miatta Fanbulleh is Liberian.

She is now in charge of Britain's Energy Security.

Meanwhile this is what Liberia looks like:

Beaches covered in excrement.

No waste management.

Absolute filth.

00:01:14
Unrestricted warfare

🇺🇦❌🇷🇺 — WATCH: A Ukrainian FPV drone strikes a gas station in Belgorod, Russia.

➡️ Cars can be seen queueing for gas as the drone strikes.

00:00:13
CENTCOM

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷 US CENTCOM:

At 5:45 p.m. ET today, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps forces launched multiple ballistic missiles from Iran in an attempted surprise attack on U.S. forces based in the Middle East. All Iranian missiles were successfully intercepted. U.S. forces remain vigilant and at a high state of readiness.

@wfwitness

Flock

The argument by law enforcement that Flock cameras help solve crimes could be used to argue in favor of any form of mass electronic surveillance. A system whereby the movements and actions of every man, woman and child in the United States is tracked electronically at all times would virtually eliminate all crime in this country.

Nobody is seriously advocating for an AI system to watch every human being, 24 hours a day, in their public and private lives—even though it would end or at least catch all crime—because as a society, stopping or catching crime is not our only priority. It's the only priority of law enforcement, but we don't live in a "cop"-ocracy. If every citizen lived in cells like on Alcatraz instead of private homes, that would also help prevent crime!

"Oh, but even though we're going to collect all the data, we're going to put in safeguards so it can't be used by bad actors!"

Well that same justification could be used to justify the AI skynet watching all people at ...

THE COST OF THE AMERICAN DREAM HAS EXPLODED.

  • Owning a home.

  • Buying groceries.

  • Driving to work.

  • Paying insurance.

  • Even your morning coffee.

Nearly every major household expense costs dramatically more than it did just a few years ago.

Over the last 7 years:

• Coffee: +127%

• Home prices: +60%

• Auto insurance: +51%

• Gasoline: +49%

• Electricity: +44%

• Shelter: +35%

• Groceries: +33%

And that's before paying for healthcare, transportation, or eating out.

This is why so many families feel like they're falling behind even when they get a raise.

The biggest financial problem for millions of Americans is that everything is going up at the same time, while the government keeps showing a 2% inflation target.

🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶

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