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Summary

✅A summary of new Israel operation in Gaza:

➡️The attack was limited to Rafah with the coordination and notification of the Zionist regime to America and Egypt.

🟩At the current stage, the Zionist regime is advancing two tactics:

1. The occupation of the Palestinian side of the Karam Abu Salem, Rafah and Philadelphia axis crossings, which also includes the agricultural area between the border and the city.

2. Bombing the eastern areas of Rafah

❗️With these two measures, the Zionist regime seeks to achieve four goals at the current stage:

1. Pressure on Hamas to give points in negotiations with the loss of the strategic axis of Philadelphia and the Rafah crossing and pressure on civilians

2. Presenting "victory image" to Netanyahu to facilitate his acceptance of the ceasefire without the fall of his government.

● In other words, if Netanyahu accepts the ceasefire, he can claim that he attacked Rafah (which was condition set by extreme right-wing elements of his government like Ben-gvir) and he will claim by seizing the Rafah crossing, Hamas retreated and an agreement was reached.

3. The control of the Rafah crossing as the only land route of Gaza with the outside and the main axis for aid to enter the Strip is the basis for the next day's plans.

● In this regard, entrusting control
Crossing over to an American security company and handing it over to the forces of Majed Faraj (Head of intelligence of Palestinian Authority) and then creating the foundation for PA to control aid and expand influence in the Gaza Strip to eliminate Hamas is one of the plans on the enemy's table.

● In recent days, Majed Faraj has been active again in this regard.

4 . Laying the groundwork for next steps of the operation: a predicted scenario is the implementation of step-by-step and gradual operations in Rafah, so that the pressure of global public opinion will also decrease at each step.

● Also, one of the zionist regime's most serious obstacles for freedom of action in Rafah is Egypt. Egypt's main concern is the influx of Palestinian refugees to the border and entering Sinai.

● Therefore, with the initial attack on the Philadelphia axis, the Zionist regime actually closes the way for refugees to enter Egypt and remove main concern of Egyptian government.

❗️This is also the reason for Egypt's lack of response to the capture of Rafah.

🚩

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Analysis

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran.

Main points:

Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel.

Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots.

Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas.

Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles.

Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel.

Missiles & drones:

2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties.

2 rockets were ...

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OIL MARKETS REACT SHARPLY TO ESCALATING MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

📈 WTI CRUDE IS NOW FORECAST TO HIT $94.10 BY YEAR-END, UP OVER $21 IN A WEEK, ACCORDING TO KALSHI MARKETS.

THE JUMP FOLLOWS IRAN’S CANCELLATION OF NUCLEAR TALKS WITH THE U.S., CITING ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES. WITH TENSIONS RISING, MARKETS ARE PRICING IN THE RISK OF REGIONAL ESCALATION AND POTENTIAL DISRUPTION TO OIL FLOWS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, A KEY ROUTE FOR 20% OF GLOBAL OIL.

ANALYSTS WARN THAT A FULL CLOSURE OF THE STRAIT COULD PUSH PRICES ABOVE $120–$150 PER BARREL. ...

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