WHAT ARE HEZBOLLAH'S OPTIONS?
Israel has its boot on Hezbollah’s neck. The pressure is unrelenting, and Israel is presenting Iran/Nasrallah with 3 options:
1. Agree to UN resolution 1701, a humiliating surrender and a retreat beyond the Litani River.
2. Continue absorbing massive damage to its military capabilities without being able to respond meaningfully.
3. Taking the bait and doing something that will give Israel the legitimacy to start a full-scale war.
Hezbollah does not have unlimited time to choose. I assess that Israel will continue to escalate dramatically until the High Holidays are over and the elections in the US (Nov 5). If nothing changes from Hezbollah until then, Israel will initiate a full-scale war regardless of what anyone else wants.
(Raylan Givens on X)
📝🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 - On the Brink: Showdown in the Middle East
Amid an escalating American buildup, it’s clear Witkoff’s list of demands is more of a request for surrender. Accepting the abolition of its nuclear program and limitations on its ballistic missile force would leave Iran powerless to defend itself in any future conflict, which is the entire point of asking for these “concessions”. This demarche is a poison pill meant to justify further action when Iran rightly refuses it or, should they be foolish enough to actually accept it, will make the job of Israel and the U.S. easier when they inevitably tear up any agreement to conduct strikes anyway. The goal here for Tel Aviv and Washington isn’t peace and anybody who thinks they actually care about protesters needs to get their head checked; they want a final showdown with Iran to remove it as an obstacle to themselves in the Middle East.
For those that don’t remember, in the lead up to the 12 Day War last year...