Lebanon Situation Report

— At this point, Hezbollah must urgently rebuild its internal communications, reassess the security of its leadership, and reconsider its approach to asymmetric warfare.

— The organization's ability to maneuver is shrinking due to intelligence leaks from within, feeding Israel critical information. While Ali Karaki may not be dead, he is now a marked and vulnerable target.

— Hezbollah's decision to bunker the entire Jihad Council reflects a troubling willingness to prioritize the organization's survival over its strategic awareness. This "blinding" of leadership for the sake of self-preservation raises serious concerns.

— Israel's operational gains, along with the fear it has instilled, will have political ramifications for Hezbollah in the medium term, particularly within Lebanon.

— As a result, Nasrallah and his inner circle will enter this phase significantly weakened. Their traditional anti-Israel rhetoric is losing its potency, and it will no longer convince a disillusioned public.