We know what’s coming and we are prepared.
Lebanon Situation Report
— At this point, Hezbollah must urgently rebuild its internal communications, reassess the security of its leadership, and reconsider its approach to asymmetric warfare.
— The organization's ability to maneuver is shrinking due to intelligence leaks from within, feeding Israel critical information. While Ali Karaki may not be dead, he is now a marked and vulnerable target.
— Hezbollah's decision to bunker the entire Jihad Council reflects a troubling willingness to prioritize the organization's survival over its strategic awareness. This "blinding" of leadership for the sake of self-preservation raises serious concerns.
— Israel's operational gains, along with the fear it has instilled, will have political ramifications for Hezbollah in the medium term, particularly within Lebanon.
— As a result, Nasrallah and his inner circle will enter this phase significantly weakened. Their traditional anti-Israel rhetoric is losing its potency, and it will no longer convince a disillusioned public.
📝🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 - On the Brink: Showdown in the Middle East
Amid an escalating American buildup, it’s clear Witkoff’s list of demands is more of a request for surrender. Accepting the abolition of its nuclear program and limitations on its ballistic missile force would leave Iran powerless to defend itself in any future conflict, which is the entire point of asking for these “concessions”. This demarche is a poison pill meant to justify further action when Iran rightly refuses it or, should they be foolish enough to actually accept it, will make the job of Israel and the U.S. easier when they inevitably tear up any agreement to conduct strikes anyway. The goal here for Tel Aviv and Washington isn’t peace and anybody who thinks they actually care about protesters needs to get their head checked; they want a final showdown with Iran to remove it as an obstacle to themselves in the Middle East.
For those that don’t remember, in the lead up to the 12 Day War last year...
