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Iran Strike

Here are some new details and revelations about the Israeli strike in Iran:

1.The strike destroyed all of Iran’s strategic air defense capabilities. This includes all long-range surface-to-air missile batteries. Iran had two such models: the Russian S-300 and an advanced Iranian-made model. All batteries were destroyed, along with long-range detection radars. Essentially, Iran is now left only with short-range air defense batteries of local Iranian models.

2.The main damage to air defense batteries was in Tehran and western Iran. In Tehran, this means exposing and making the Iranian capital vulnerable, while in western Iran, this area is where Iran launched ballistic missile attacks on Israeli territory, providing operational efficiency for the future.

3.IDF assessment: Iran has lost its strategic air defense capabilities for the next two to three years. Russia cannot supply it with systems due to the war in Ukraine, and it will take Iran a long time to produce new systems of the Iranian model.

4.According to reports, Iran holds over 2,000 long-range ballistic missiles. The existing arsenal was not damaged—only the capability to produce new missiles (as reported, planetary mixers, etc.). This means that Iran will now operate on a limited munitions economy, as its current missile stockpile will not be able to grow in the near future (in the coming months or years).

5.Contrary to various reports, there was no damage to Iran’s drone array. (We need find out what was hit at the Shams Abad site)

6.More than 140 aircraft participated in the strike. Over 50% of the pilots and navigators involved were reservists.

7.The IDF anticipated that the Iranians might respond with an attack of 200 ballistic missiles during the strike, while the aircraft were still airborne. The Air Force was prepared with a continuity plan that would allow both defense against such an attack and the completion of all three strike waves without forfeiting any targets. Ultimately, the Iranians chose not to respond immediately. A senior security official commented: “Every moment that passes without a response indicates they are conducting damage control, thinking with their heads and not their hearts, and weighing their steps.”

8.Preparations for a potential Iranian attack: This time, the Americans are expected to play a more significant role in defense and interception, thanks to the THAAD battery stationed in Israel and three ships equipped with AEGIS defense systems capable of intercepting ballistic missiles, which were also involved in intercepting the attack in early October.

(Doron Kadosh)

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